Browns
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Ravens at Browns
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
53%
Ravens WIN
23–22
PROJ SCORE
Ravens -1.1
PROJ MARGIN
Ravens WIN%Browns WIN%
53%47%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
0.010Net EPA / play-0.094
0.034Offense EPA / play-0.190
0.024Defense EPA / play-0.096
0.446Offense success %0.345
0.442Defense success %0.402
BY THE NUMBERS
| #16 | Power rank | #24 |
| 0.005 | Model rating | -0.047 |
| 8.9 | Proj. 2026 wins | 8.0 |
| 49% | Playoff odds | 33% |
| -0.035 | Pass EPA/play | -0.288 |
| 0.100 | Rush EPA/play | -0.048 |
| 424/398 | 2025 record pts | 279/379 |
| -0.013 | Strength of sched | -0.028 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| D.Henry | 1745 | 280 |
| Z.Flowers | 1273 | 243 |
| L.Jackson | 2549 | 215 |
| M.Andrews | 470 | 131 |
| D.Hopkins | 330 | 67 |
| J.Hill | 262 | 65 |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| H.Fannin |
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.RECENT MEETINGS
| Season · Wk | Matchup | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 · W11 | Ravens @ Browns | 23–16 |
| 2025 · W2 | Browns @ Ravens | 17–41 |
| 2024 · W18 | Browns @ Ravens | 10–35 |
| 2024 · W8 | Ravens @ Browns | 24–29 |
| 2023 · W10 | Browns @ Ravens | 33–31 |
| 2023 · W4 | Ravens @ Browns | 28–3 |
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.