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This Week
Predictions
Start hereHow it worksThree models vote on every game. We publish the method, the calibration and every miss.Read the methodology →
The games
Game PredictionsLive Win ProbabilityAll 32 TeamsCompare Two Teams
2026 season
Projections HubPlayer ProjectionsPlayoff PictureSuper Bowl OddsAward Odds
Where teams stand
StandingsPower RankingsPlayoff OddsStrength of ScheduleRemaining Schedule
The model
MethodologyModel HealthCalibration, in publicModel vs MarketOur Wins vs Vegas
Betting
Start hereThe EdgeThe short list of games the model flags as bets, with unit sizing and the price we would take.See this week’s Edge →
The Edge
This Week’s EdgeFlagged bets, ProModel EdgesBankroll & Sizing
Markets
Game TotalsPlayer PropsSame-Game Parlay
Pools
Survivor PicksRanked by win probabilityCirca SurvivorEntries alive + availabilityPick'em PicksEvery game, straight upConfidence Pool PicksPoints + expected pointsHow Pools Work
Getting sharper
Expected ValueClosing Line ValueWhat ATS Means
Fantasy
Start hereFantasy HubSync your league and get lineups, trade grades and waiver targets under your exact scoring.Connect a league →
Your week
Projections & Start/SitFantasy HubSync your leagueDefense vs Position
Players
Stat LeadersPlayer RatingsNoPunt Player RatingNext Gen StatsAdvanced Stats
Context
Coaching TendenciesSeason OutlookMost Dramatic Games
Results
Learn
Start hereNew here?Eleven plain-English guides, from what a spread is to how closing line value works.Start with the basics →
Betting basics
All GuidesHow Spreads WorkOdds ExplainedBankroll ManagementBetting CalculatorsFree, no login
The game
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PRIVACY

OUR PRIVACY POLICY

Short version: we collect what we need to ship picks, send emails, process subscriptions, and understand how the site is used, and nothing more. We never sell your email address or your data. We use Google Analytics and Vercel Analytics to measure traffic; we do not run advertising networks or sell data to advertisers.

What we collect

  • Standard web logs (IP, user agent, request path) via Vercel.
  • Email address (and first name, if provided) when you join the list or sign up for Pro picks. Stored in our subscriber records.
  • Account data (email, plan status) if you create an account or subscribe to the paid tier.
  • Payment details when you subscribe. These are entered directly with Stripe; we never see or store full card numbers.
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What we don’t collect

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  • Full payment card numbers (those live with Stripe).
  • Advertising or cross-site retargeting profiles. We don’t run ad networks.

Third-party processors

We share data with a small set of service providers strictly to run the product:

  • Supabase, database and authentication. Stores your account, subscription status, and email list records.
  • Stripe, payment processing for Pro subscriptions. Handles all card data directly under its own privacy policy.
  • Resend, transactional and weekly picks email delivery. Receives your email address to send the messages you signed up for.
  • Vercel, hosting, standard request telemetry, and privacy-friendly traffic analytics (Vercel Analytics / Speed Insights).
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We do not sell your data, and these providers may only use it to deliver their service to us.

Email

If you join the list or go Pro, we email you weekly picks and account messages. Every marketing email includes a one-click unsubscribe link, and you can opt out at any time.

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Your rights

Request export or deletion of your data at any time by emailing hello@nopunt.com. We respond within 7 days.

Last updated: October 18, 2026.
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