THE EDGE

MEMBERS ONLY

THE PLAYS WE'D ACTUALLY BET

The Edge is the model's flagged weekly bets — the small, high-conviction set it flags out of the full slate, each with Kelly sizing and the model's own read on the price. A proven, profitable strategy since 2020. 
Past results. Not financial advice.

1070-540-5

ALL-TIME RECORD

66.5%

SU ACCURACY

PROFITABLE

SINCE 2020

1,615

GRADED PICKS

That is every pick we have ever published, free and paid, graded in public. The Edge is the small slice of it the model flags as bets.

WHAT ARRIVES

▲

AWAY

SAMPLE CARD · NOT A REAL PICK

AWAY +3.5 · ML +154

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SEE THE PUBLIC TRACK RECORD →

Wednesday morning, one card per play: the side, the price we would take it at, the model's win probability, and the Kelly stake.
Weeks 1–18. Usually one to three a week, and 13 of the 107weeks we have graded since 2020 had none at all — 5of those are Week 18, which the Edge sits out by design once teams start resting starters. No playoff picks: the model has never been graded on January football, so we don't sell it.

UNLOCK THE EDGE

Unlock this week's Edge — the flagged bets, with Kelly sizing and the model's read.

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