PLAYOFFS
2026 · PLAYOFF PICTURE
2026 NFL PLAYOFFS
Our model’s top seeds are the Bills (AFC) and Lions (NFC), with Buffalo Bills the Super Bowl favorite at 10.9%. Projected seven-seed fields for both conferences below.
Bills
AFC #1 SEED
Lions
NFC #1 SEED
Bills
SB FAVORITE
10.9%
SB ODDS
AFC PROJECTED SEEDS
SEEDS 1–4 DIVISION WINNERS · 5–7 WILDCARD
On the outside: Colts (9.0 W, 53%) · Chargers (8.6 W, 46%) · Steelers (8.4 W, 42%)
NFC PROJECTED SEEDS
SEEDS 1–4 DIVISION WINNERS · 5–7 WILDCARD
On the outside: Vikings (8.8 W, 44%) · Bears (8.4 W, 39%) · Falcons (8.4 W, 41%)
2026 PLAYOFFS · FAQ
Who are the projected 2026 NFL playoff teams?
AFC: Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans, New England Patriots, Kansas City Chiefs, Jacksonville Jaguars. NFC: Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles, Los Angeles Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Green Bay Packers, Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers.
Which teams get the #1 seed in 2026?
Buffalo Bills are our projected AFC #1 seed (20% bye odds) and Detroit Lions the NFC #1 seed (17%).
Who is the 2026 Super Bowl favorite?
Buffalo Bills, winning the Super Bowl in 10.9% of 10,000 simulations. No team clears 15%, a single NFL season is mostly variance.
Offseason priors from 10,000 simulations of the real 2026 schedule; seeds approximate the 4 division winners plus 3 wildcards by projected wins. In-season odds re-simulate weekly from Week 1. Projection by Noah Owsiany, M.S. Business Analytics.
Before kickoff
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