2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
POWER
NFL POWER RANKINGS
EPA-Derived Power
LAR owns the league at +0.206 net EPA per play.
32
TEAMS RANKED
LAR
FINAL #1
EPA/PLAY
RANKING METRIC
TOP 5 TEAMS
RANKED BY NET EPA/PLAY
Super Bowl % comes from the playoff Monte Carlo simulator, a separate model from the EPA ranking above.
FULL RANKINGS
ALL 32 TEAMS · 2025| # | TEAM | NET EPA | YoY | OFF EPA | DEF EPA | PASS EPA | RUSH EPA | PTS FOR | PTS AGN | SB % | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LA | +0.206 | — | +0.145 | -0.061 | +0.229 | +0.026 | 518 | 346 | 25.0 | 17 |
| 2 |  NE | +0.205 | — | +0.158 | -0.047 | +0.286 | +0.008 | 490 | 320 | 31.8 | 17 |
| 3 |  BUF | +0.152 | — | +0.136 | -0.016 | +0.160 | +0.110 | 481 | 365 | 7.0 | 17 |
| 4 |  SEA | +0.150 | — | +0.033 | -0.117 | +0.112 | -0.049 | 483 | 292 | 15.0 | 17 |
| 5 |  DEN | +0.138 | — | +0.050 | -0.088 | +0.084 | +0.000 | 401 | 311 | 6.9 | 17 |
| 6 |  JAX | +0.136 | — | +0.030 | -0.105 | +0.059 | -0.006 | 474 | 336 | 4.8 | 17 |
| 7 |  HOU | +0.118 | — | -0.013 | -0.131 | +0.036 | -0.078 | 404 | 295 | 1.9 | 17 |
| 8 |  PHI | +0.105 | — | +0.026 | -0.079 | +0.044 | +0.005 | 379 | 325 | 3.6 | 17 |
| 9 |  DET | +0.091 | — | +0.081 | -0.010 | +0.168 | -0.043 | 481 | 413 | 1.6 | 17 |
| 10 |  GB | +0.082 | — | +0.115 | +0.033 | +0.229 | -0.010 | 391 | 360 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 11 |  IND | +0.068 | — | +0.072 | +0.004 | +0.056 | +0.094 | 466 | 412 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 12 |  CHI | +0.061 | — | +0.080 | +0.018 | +0.080 | +0.079 | 441 | 415 | 1.6 | 17 |
| 13 |  LAC | +0.059 | — | -0.024 | -0.083 | -0.054 | +0.019 | 368 | 340 | 0.4 | 17 |
| 14 |  KC | +0.055 | — | +0.035 | -0.020 | +0.040 | +0.027 | 362 | 328 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 15 |  SF | +0.018 | — | +0.088 | +0.070 | +0.159 | -0.004 | 437 | 371 | 0.2 | 17 |
| 16 |  BAL | +0.010 | — | +0.034 | +0.024 | -0.035 | +0.100 | 424 | 398 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 17 |  PIT | +0.007 | — | +0.025 | +0.018 | +0.029 | +0.019 | 397 | 387 | 0.1 | 17 |
| 18 |  MIN | -0.016 | — | -0.116 | -0.100 | -0.188 | -0.015 | 344 | 333 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 19 |  ATL | -0.018 | — | -0.021 | -0.004 | -0.013 | -0.031 | 353 | 401 | 0.1 | 17 |
| 20 |  TB | -0.022 | — | -0.009 | +0.013 | -0.026 | +0.014 | 380 | 411 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 21 |  NO | -0.029 | — | -0.088 | -0.059 | -0.080 | -0.101 | 306 | 383 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 22 |  DAL | -0.070 | — | +0.097 | +0.167 | +0.160 | +0.005 | 471 | 511 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 23 |  NYG | -0.075 | — | +0.012 | +0.087 | -0.008 | +0.036 | 381 | 439 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 24 |  CLE | -0.094 | — | -0.190 | -0.096 | -0.288 | -0.048 | 279 | 379 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 25 |  MIA | -0.105 | — | -0.017 | +0.088 | -0.009 | -0.026 | 347 | 424 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 26 |  CAR | -0.107 | — | -0.039 | +0.067 | -0.050 | -0.026 | 311 | 380 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 27 |  ARI | -0.107 | — | -0.018 | +0.088 | +0.002 | -0.059 | 355 | 488 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 28 |  WAS | -0.137 | — | +0.005 | +0.142 | -0.008 | +0.019 | 356 | 451 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 29 |  CIN | -0.138 | — | -0.009 | +0.130 | -0.027 | +0.025 | 414 | 492 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 30 |  LV | -0.240 | — | -0.215 | +0.024 | -0.187 | -0.261 | 241 | 432 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 31 |  TEN | -0.260 | — | -0.160 | +0.100 | -0.221 | -0.057 | 284 | 478 | 0.0 | 17 |
| 32 |  NYJ | -0.274 | — | -0.127 | +0.147 | -0.180 | -0.061 | 300 | 503 | 0.0 | 17 |
METHODOLOGY
Net EPA per play = offensive EPA/play minus defensive EPA/play on scrimmage downs (pass + run only). Offensive EPA measures how many expected points a team adds per play when on offense; defensive EPA measures the same from the opposing offense. A negative defensive EPA means the defense suppresses scoring. Data sourced from nfl_data_py play-by-play; includes regular season and postseason games.