2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
#1
NFC West · 2025 SEASON
Los Angeles Rams
FOR 50-19 (72%)VS 23-9 (72%)ATS 42-27 (61%)518–346 PTS
KEY INSIGHTS
DATA-DRIVEN ANALYSISRanked #1 in the NFL by net EPA per play — an elite-tier team.
Balanced on both sides of the ball — efficient offense paired with a stingy defense.
Net EPA improved +0.236 from 2024 — a significant year-over-year jump.
A legitimate Super Bowl contender at 25.0% championship probability.
EPA PERFORMANCE
2025 SEASON FINAL+0.206
NET EPA/PLAY
+0.145
OFF EPA/PLAY
-0.061
DEF EPA/PLAY
+0.229
PASS EPA/PLAY
+0.026
RUSH EPA/PLAY
EPA TREND
2020–2025 · 7 SEASONS+0.162
+0.102
-0.105
+0.048
-0.010
-0.030
+0.206
20
21
22
23
24
24
25
| SEASON | NET EPA | OFF EPA | DEF EPA | PTS FOR | PTS AGN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | +0.206 | +0.145 | -0.061 | 518 | 346 |
| 2024 | -0.030 | +0.014 | +0.044 | 367 | 386 |
| 2024 | -0.010 | +0.010 | +0.020 | 416 | 423 |
| 2023 | +0.048 | +0.039 | -0.009 | 404 | 377 |
| 2022 | -0.105 | -0.088 | +0.017 | 307 | 384 |
| 2021 | +0.102 | +0.077 | -0.025 | 460 | 372 |
| 2020 | +0.162 | -0.015 | -0.177 | 372 | 296 |
TOP PLAYERS
ALL LEADERS →| PLAYER | POS | GP | PASS YD | RUSH YD | REC YD | TD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Stafford | QB | 17 | 4,707 | 1 | — | 46 | 350.4 |
| K.Williams | RB | 17 | — | 1,252 | 281 | 13 | 263.3 |
| B.Corum | RB | 17 | — | 746 | 36 | 6 | 122.2 |
| P.Nacua | WR | 16 | — | 105 | 1,715 | 11 | 375.0 |
| D.Adams | WR | 14 | — | — | 789 | 14 | 222.9 |
| X.Smith | WR | 16 | — | — | 303 | 0 | 48.3 |
| C.Parkinson | TE | 14 | — | — | 408 | 8 | 129.8 |
NOPUNT PICK RECORD
50-19
PICKS FOR
72%
FOR ACCURACY
23-9
PICKS AGAINST
72%
AGAINST ACCURACY
101
GAMES TRACKED
ATS SPLITS
WHEN WE PICK LARHOME
23-15
60.5%
AWAY
19-12
61.3%
FAVORITE
35-24
59.3%
UNDERDOG
7-3
70.0%
S TIER
3-3
A+ TIER
6-2
A TIER
2-3
B TIER
19-16
C TIER
12-3
BY OPPONENT
MIN 2 PICKS FOR LAR
PICK HISTORY
NEWEST FIRST| Week | Matchup | Our Pick | Tier | Conf. | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025·W18 | ARI @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | S | 82% | ARI 20–37 LA | WIN |
| 2025·W17 | LA @ ATLMON 8:15 PM | LA | B | 71% | LA 24–27 ATL | LOSS |
| 2025·W16 | LA @ SEATHU 8:15 PM | LA | C | 58% | LA 37–38 SEA | LOSS |
| 2025·W15 | DET @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 70% | DET 34–41 LA | WIN |
| 2025·W14 | LA @ ARISUN 4:25 PM | LA | A+ | 78% | LA 45–17 ARI | WIN |
| 2025·W13 | LA @ CARSUN 1:00 PM | LA | A | 75% | LA 28–31 CAR | LOSS |
| 2025·W12 | TB @ LASUN 8:20 PM | LA | A+ | 74% | TB 7–34 LA | WIN |
| 2025·W11 | SEA @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 66% | SEA 19–21 LA | WIN |
| 2025·W10 | LA @ SFSUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 66% | LA 42–26 SF | WIN |
| 2025·W9 | NO @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | S | 81% | NO 10–34 LA | WIN |
| 2025·W7 | LA @ JAXSUN 9:30 AM | LA | B | 62% | LA 35–7 JAX | WIN |
| 2025·W6 | LA @ BALSUN 1:00 PM | LA | C | 64% | LA 17–3 BAL | WIN |
| 2025·W5 | SF @ LATHU 8:15 PM | LA | A | 72% | SF 26–23 LA | LOSS |
| 2025·W4 | IND @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 62% | IND 20–27 LA | WIN |
| 2025·W3 | LA @ PHISUN 1:00 PM | PHI | C | 63% | LA 26–33 PHI | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W2 | LA @ TENSUN 1:00 PM | LA | A+ | 79% | LA 33–19 TEN | WIN |
| 2025·W1 | HOU @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 68% | HOU 9–14 LA | WIN |
| 2024·W18 | SEA @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | A | 71% | SEA 30–25 LA | LOSS |
| 2024·W17 | ARI @ LASAT 8:15 PM | LA | A+ | 73% | ARI 9–13 LA | WIN |
| 2024·W16 | LA @ NYJSUN 1:00 PM | LA | A | 73% | LA 19–9 NYJ | WIN |
| 2024·W15 | LA @ SFTHU 8:15 PM | LA | C | 50% | LA 12–6 SF | WIN |
| 2024·W14 | BUF @ LASUN 4:25 PM | BUF | B | 69% | BUF 42–44 LA | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W13 | LA @ NOSUN 4:05 PM | NO | B | 61% | LA 21–14 NO | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W12 | PHI @ LASUN 8:20 PM | PHI | C | 60% | PHI 37–20 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W11 | LA @ NESUN 1:00 PM | LA | B | 65% | LA 28–22 NE | WIN |
| 2024·W10 | MIA @ LAMON 8:15 PM | LA | B | 69% | MIA 23–15 LA | LOSS |
| 2024·W9 | LA @ SEASUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 62% | LA 26–20 SEA | WIN |
| 2024·W8 | MIN @ LATHU 8:15 PM | LA | C | 59% | MIN 20–30 LA | WIN |
| 2024·W7 | LV @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 67% | LV 15–20 LA | WIN |
| 2024·W5 | GB @ LASUN 4:25 PM | GB | C | 60% | GB 24–19 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W4 | LA @ CHISUN 1:00 PM | LA | B | 63% | LA 18–24 CHI | LOSS |
| 2024·W3 | SF @ LASUN 4:25 PM | SF | B | 62% | SF 24–27 LA | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W2 | LA @ ARISUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 67% | LA 10–41 ARI | LOSS |
| 2024·W1 | LA @ DETSUN 8:20 PM | DET | C | 61% | LA 20–26 DET | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W18 | LA @ SFSUN 4:25 PM | SF | B | 71% | LA 21–20 SF | LOSS (vs) |
| 2023·W17 | LA @ NYGSUN 1:00 PM | LA | A | 72% | LA 26–25 NYG | WIN |
| 2023·W16 | NO @ LATHU 8:15 PM | LA | B | 61% | NO 22–30 LA | WIN |
| 2023·W15 | WAS @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 69% | WAS 20–28 LA | WIN |
| 2023·W14 | LA @ BALSUN 1:00 PM | BAL | B | 71% | LA 31–37 BAL | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W13 | CLE @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | C | 60% | CLE 19–36 LA | WIN |
| 2023·W12 | LA @ ARISUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 62% | LA 37–14 ARI | WIN |
| 2023·W11 | SEA @ LASUN 4:25 PM | SEA | B | 63% | SEA 16–17 LA | LOSS (vs) |
| 2023·W9 | LA @ GBSUN 1:00 PM | GB | B | 64% | LA 3–20 GB | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W8 | LA @ DALSUN 1:00 PM | DAL | A | 72% | LA 20–43 DAL | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W7 | PIT @ LASUN 4:05 PM | PIT | C | 63% | PIT 24–17 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W6 | ARI @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 64% | ARI 9–26 LA | WIN |
| 2023·W5 | PHI @ LASUN 4:05 PM | PHI | B | 71% | PHI 23–14 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W4 | LA @ INDSUN 1:00 PM | LA | C | 50% | LA 29–23 IND | WIN |
| 2023·W3 | LA @ CINMON 8:15 PM | CIN | B | 68% | LA 16–19 CIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W2 | SF @ LASUN 4:05 PM | SF | A+ | 75% | SF 30–23 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W1 | LA @ SEASUN 4:25 PM | SEA | B | 69% | LA 30–13 SEA | LOSS (vs) |
| 2022·W18 | LA @ SEASUN 4:25 PM | SEA | B | 66% | LA 16–19 SEA | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W17 | LA @ LACSUN 4:25 PM | LAC | B | 70% | LA 10–31 LAC | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W16 | DEN @ LASUN 4:30 PM | LA | C | 56% | DEN 14–51 LA | WIN |
| 2022·W15 | LA @ GBMON 8:15 PM | GB | B | 70% | LA 12–24 GB | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W14 | LV @ LATHU 8:15 PM | LV | B | 69% | LV 16–17 LA | LOSS (vs) |
| 2022·W13 | SEA @ LASUN 4:05 PM | SEA | B | 66% | SEA 27–23 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W12 | LA @ KCSUN 4:25 PM | KC | A+ | 77% | LA 10–26 KC | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W11 | LA @ NOSUN 1:00 PM | NO | C | 50% | LA 20–27 NO | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W10 | ARI @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 61% | ARI 27–17 LA | LOSS |
| 2022·W9 | LA @ TBSUN 4:25 PM | TB | C | 57% | LA 13–16 TB | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W8 | SF @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 61% | SF 31–14 LA | LOSS |
| 2022·W6 | CAR @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | A+ | 71% | CAR 10–24 LA | WIN |
| 2022·W5 | DAL @ LASUN 4:25 PM | DAL | B | 61% | DAL 22–10 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W4 | LA @ SFMON 8:15 PM | SF | C | 50% | LA 9–24 SF | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W3 | LA @ ARISUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 60% | LA 20–12 ARI | WIN |
| 2022·W2 | ATL @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 66% | ATL 27–31 LA | WIN |
| 2022·W1 | BUF @ LATHU 8:20 PM | BUF | B | 62% | BUF 31–10 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2021·W18 | SF @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 57% | SF 27–24 LA | LOSS |
| 2021·W17 | LA @ BALSUN 1:00 PM | LA | B | 62% | LA 20–19 BAL | WIN |
| 2021·W16 | LA @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | LA | B | 54% | LA 30–23 MIN | WIN |
| 2021·W15 | SEA @ LATUE 7:00 PM | LA | B | 60% | SEA 10–20 LA | WIN |
| 2021·W14 | LA @ ARIMON 8:15 PM | ARI | B | 56% | LA 30–23 ARI | LOSS (vs) |
| 2021·W13 | JAX @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | A+ | 67% | JAX 7–37 LA | WIN |
| 2021·W12 | LA @ GBSUN 4:25 PM | GB | B | 56% | LA 28–36 GB | WIN (vs) |
| 2021·W10 | LA @ SFMON 8:15 PM | LA | B | 65% | LA 10–31 SF | LOSS |
| 2021·W9 | TEN @ LASUN 8:20 PM | LA | C | 56% | TEN 28–16 LA | LOSS |
| 2021·W8 | LA @ HOUSUN 1:00 PM | LA | S | 75% | LA 38–22 HOU | WIN |
| 2021·W7 | DET @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | S | 77% | DET 19–28 LA | WIN |
| 2021·W6 | LA @ NYGSUN 1:00 PM | LA | A+ | 67% | LA 38–11 NYG | WIN |
| 2021·W5 | LA @ SEATHU 8:20 PM | LA | C | 51% | LA 26–17 SEA | WIN |
| 2021·W4 | ARI @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 57% | ARI 37–20 LA | LOSS |
| 2021·W3 | TB @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | C | 51% | TB 24–34 LA | WIN |
| 2021·W2 | LA @ INDSUN 1:00 PM | LA | B | 53% | LA 27–24 IND | WIN |
| 2021·W1 | CHI @ LASUN 8:20 PM | LA | B | 59% | CHI 14–34 LA | WIN |
| 2020·W17 | ARI @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | B | 54% | ARI 7–18 LA | WIN |
| 2020·W16 | LA @ SEASUN 4:25 PM | SEA | B | 51% | LA 9–20 SEA | WIN (vs) |
| 2020·W15 | NYJ @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | S | 77% | NYJ 23–20 LA | LOSS |
| 2020·W14 | NE @ LATHU 8:20 PM | LA | C | 54% | NE 3–24 LA | WIN |
| 2020·W13 | LA @ ARISUN 4:05 PM | LA | C | 52% | LA 38–28 ARI | WIN |
| 2020·W12 | SF @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | B | 63% | SF 23–20 LA | LOSS |
| 2020·W11 | LA @ TBMON 8:15 PM | TB | C | 51% | LA 27–24 TB | LOSS (vs) |
| 2020·W10 | SEA @ LASUN 4:25 PM | LA | C | 56% | SEA 16–23 LA | WIN |
| 2020·W8 | LA @ MIASUN 1:00 PM | LA | C | 55% | LA 17–28 MIA | LOSS |
| 2020·W7 | CHI @ LAMON 8:15 PM | LA | B | 55% | CHI 10–24 LA | WIN |
| 2020·W6 | LA @ SFSUN 8:20 PM | LA | B | 55% | LA 16–24 SF | LOSS |
| 2020·W5 | LA @ WASSUN 1:00 PM | LA | S | 66% | LA 30–10 WAS | WIN |
| 2020·W4 | NYG @ LASUN 4:05 PM | LA | A+ | 66% | NYG 9–17 LA | WIN |
| 2020·W3 | LA @ BUFSUN 1:00 PM | LA | C | 51% | LA 32–35 BUF | LOSS |
| 2020·W2 | LA @ PHISUN 1:00 PM | LA | B | 53% | LA 37–19 PHI | WIN |
| 2020·W1 | DAL @ LASUN 8:20 PM | LA | B | 53% | DAL 17–20 LA | WIN |