2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ LA – Week 9 2025
NO
LA
NO
AWAY
10@34
LA +24
FINAL · WEEK 9
2025 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER S
PICK: LA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LA 81%Projected margin: 11.1
LA
PICK SIDE
-14.0
SPREAD
11.1
PROJ MARGIN
-750
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 11.1. Actual: 24. Off by 12.9 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.0 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -750 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.13 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 1-4 ATS (20%)
LA
Road Favorite 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NO
C.Olave
WR
268.0SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
179.9SEASON PPR
T.Shough
QB
158.0SEASON PPR
LA
P.Nacua
WR
375.0SEASON PPR
M.Stafford
QB
350.4SEASON PPR
K.Williams
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@NOW13 2024 | LA 21, NO 14 | NO | L |
| NO@LAW16 2023 | NO 22, LA 30 | LA | W |
| LA@NOW11 2022 | LA 20, NO 27 | NO | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES