2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ NO – Week 13 2024
LA
NO
LA
AWAY
21@14
LA +7
FINAL · WEEK 13
2024 SEASON
NO
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NO
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 61%Projected margin: 1.3
NO
PICK SIDE
+2.5
SPREAD
1.3
PROJ MARGIN
+143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick misses. LA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked NO but LA won. Projected margin was 1.3 -- the model overestimated by 8.3 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +2.5 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | +143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +120 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
road_favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)home_underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
NO
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
LA
K.Williams
RB
272.1SEASON PPR
M.Stafford
QB
214.6SEASON PPR
P.Nacua
WR
206.6SEASON PPR
NO
A.Kamara
RB
265.3SEASON PPR
D.Carr
QB
150.9SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@LAW9 2025 | NO 10, LA 34 | LA | W |
| NO@LAW16 2023 | NO 22, LA 30 | LA | W |
| LA@NOW11 2022 | LA 20, NO 27 | NO | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES