Seahawks vs Jets – Week 13 2024
SEA
NYJ
SEA
AWAY
26@21
SEA BY 5
FINAL · WEEK 13
2024 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYJ
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 26, New York Jets 21.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 60% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Seahawks, 1 Jets.
Model confidence: SEA 60%Our line: SEA -3.5
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA +1.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -3.5
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
60%
TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 13
-0.018Net EPA / play-0.037
-0.030 (19)Offense EPA / play-0.013 (17)
-0.012 (11)Defense EPA / play+0.024 (20)
43.9% (16)Offense success %42.6% (18)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected SEA by 3.5. Actual: 5 points. The model was within 1.5 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
home_underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
NYJ
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
37°F
WIND
12 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@SEAW17 2022 | NYJ 6, SEA 23 | SEA | W |
| NYJ@SEAW14 2020 | NYJ 3, SEA 40 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs NYJ
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 60% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 3.5. The market has SEA at +1.0.
Seattle Seahawks won, SEA 26, NYJ 21. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 60% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at +1.0, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 1.0 points.
In Week 13, the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the New York Jets were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 41.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.2, 4.7 above the market.
Week 13 of the 2024 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, NYJ 6, SEA 23 in Week 17 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA -0.018 against NYJ -0.037.
