2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ NYJ – Week 13 2024
SEA
NYJ
SEA
AWAY
26@21
SEA +5
FINAL · WEEK 13
2024 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 60%Projected margin: -1.6
SEA
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
-1.6
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 1.6. Actual: 5. Off by 3.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -105 | Won · +$1.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
home_underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
NYJ
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
37°F
WIND
12 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
SEA
G.Smith
QB
266.0SEASON PPR
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
253.0SEASON PPR
D.Metcalf
WR
191.2SEASON PPR
NYJ
A.Rodgers
QB
256.6SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
251.9SEASON PPR
B.Hall
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@SEAW17 2022 | NYJ 6, SEA 23 | SEA | W |
| NYJ@SEAW14 2020 | NYJ 3, SEA 40 | SEA | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES