Jets vs Seahawks – Week 14 2020
NYJ
SEA
NYJ
AWAY
3@40
SEA BY 37
FINAL · WEEK 14
2020 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Jets 3, Seattle Seahawks 40.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 70% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 5 Jets, 2 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 70%Our line: SEA -7.1
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -16.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -7.1
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
70%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 14
-0.227Net EPA / play+0.047
-0.143 (32)Offense EPA / play+0.087 (11)
+0.084 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.040 (17)
40.2% (31)Offense success %48.2% (6)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 7.1. Actual: 37. Off by 29.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 20.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
8 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York JetsPASSING
Sam Darnold2208 yd · 9 TD · 11 INT
RUSHING
Frank Gore653 yd · 2 TD
Ty Johnson254 yd · 1 TD
La'Mical Perine232 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
Jamison Crowder59 rec · 699 yd · 6 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@NYJW13 2024 | SEA 26, NYJ 21 | SEA | W |
| NYJ@SEAW17 2022 | NYJ 6, SEA 23 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYJ vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 70% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project SEA by 7.1. The market has SEA at -16.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, NYJ 3, SEA 40. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 70% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -16.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 16.5 points.
In Week 14, the New York Jets were without 5 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 49.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.4, 3.1 below the market.
Week 14 of the 2020 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, SEA 26, NYJ 21 in Week 13 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Seattle Seahawks: NYJ -0.227 against SEA +0.047.
