Patriots vs Rams – Week 14 2020
NE
LA
NE
AWAY
3@24
LA BY 21
FINAL · WEEK 14
2020 SEASON
SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
LA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New England Patriots 3, Los Angeles Rams 24.
Going in, our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 54% win probability, and the pick won.
Model confidence: LA 54%Our line: LA -1.5
ODDS
SPREAD
LA -5.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LA -1.5
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
LA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
54%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 14
-0.076Net EPA / play+0.162
-0.004 (21)Offense EPA / play-0.015 (23)
+0.071 (22)Defense EPA / play-0.177 (1)
46.1% (12)Offense success %44.5% (20)
GAME NARRATIVE
LA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 1.5. Actual: 21. Off by 19.5 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 16.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
LA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New England PatriotsPASSING
Cam Newton2657 yd · 8 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
Damien Harris691 yd · 2 TD
Cam Newton592 yd · 12 TD
Sony Michel449 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
Jakobi Meyers59 rec · 729 yd · 0 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNE vs LA
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 54% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project LA by 1.5. The market has LA at -5.0.
Los Angeles Rams won, NE 3, LA 24. Our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 54% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Los Angeles Rams at -5.0, meaning the book expects Los Angeles Rams to win by 5.0 points.
Sportsbooks have this game at 43.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.4, 2.9 above the market.
Week 14 of the 2020 season, THU 8:20 PM.
Los Angeles Rams, LA 28, NE 22 in Week 11 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Los Angeles Rams: NE -0.076 against LA +0.162.
