2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ BUF – Week 14 2020
PIT
BUF
PIT
AWAY
15@26
BUF +11
FINAL · WEEK 14
2020 SEASON
BUF
HOME
TIER C
PICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BUF 50%Projected margin: -1.0
BUF
PICK SIDE
-2.0
SPREAD
-1.0
PROJ MARGIN
-133
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 1.0. Actual: 11. Off by 12.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 9.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.0 | BUF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -133 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -124 | Won · +$0.75 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
BUF
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
35°F
WIND
11 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PIT
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
267.2SEASON PPR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
234.1SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
BUF
Josh Allen
QB
396.1SEASON PPR
Stefon Diggs
WR
328.6SEASON PPR
Cole Beasley
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF@PITW13 2025 | BUF 26, PIT 7 | BUF | W |
| PIT@BUFW5 2022 | PIT 3, BUF 38 | BUF | W |
| PIT@BUFW1 2021 | PIT 23, BUF 16 | BUF | L |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES