BAL @ CLE – Week 14 2020

CLE C-tier pick misses. BAL takes it.

Model picked CLE but BAL won. Projected margin was 1.3 -- the model overestimated by 3.7 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 2.0 points.

18 MPH winds and 34°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.