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PICKS
NFL PICKS

Week 1 Picks

We pick every game on the board and tier it by confidence. Every pick is graded, win or lose.

16 GAMES · A+-TIER FIRST
WEEK 1 · 2026→
FREE PICK OF THE WEEK
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAX TO WIN
CLE @ JAX · SUN 1:00 PM
A+
79% CONF
HIGH CONVICTION
BOARD COMPOSITION
—
HIGH CONF
—
CONVICTION
Board composition and conviction breakdownVIEW WITH PRO
SUN 1:00 PM-7.5
Cleveland Browns@Jacksonville Jaguars
CLE @ JAX
JAX · A+ · 79%
MON 8:15 PM+3.0
Denver Broncos@Kansas City Chiefs
DEN @ KC
DEN · A+ · 76%
SUN 4:25 PM-10.5
Arizona Cardinals@Los Angeles Chargers
ARI @ LAC
LAC · A+ · 75%
SUN 4:25 PM-4.5
Washington Commanders@

K Xu = theoretical quarter-Kelly stake, shown for reference only. Our tracked record bets a flat 1u on every pick, full Kellyon this model carries ~86% max drawdown, so we don't stake by it.

EVERY EDGE, EVERY WEEK

Every pick is free, confidence tiers, model moneyline, and full vote breakdowns. Pro adds the Edge: the games the model flags as bets, with Kelly reference sizing.

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DISCLAIMER · For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting or financial advice. No guaranteed outcomes. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

PICKS ARCHIVE

125 WEEKS ON RECORD
2026 SEASON
W18W17W16W15W14W13W12W11W10W9W8W7
Full Results Ledger →How We Pick →All Teams →Compare Teams →Defense Rankings →Game Totals →
Philadelphia Eagles
WAS @ PHI
PHI · A · 71%
SUN 4:25 PM+3.5
Miami Dolphins@Las Vegas Raiders
MIA @ LV
MIA · B · 70%
SUN 1:00 PM-2.5
Chicago Bears@Carolina Panthers
CHI @ CAR
CHI · B · 65%
WED 8:20 PM-3.5
New England Patriots@Seattle Seahawks
NE @ SEA
SEA · B · 65%
THU 8:35 PM-3.5
San Francisco 49ers@Los Angeles Rams
SF @ LA
LA · B · 65%
SUN 1:00 PM-7.0
New Orleans Saints@Detroit Lions
NO @ DET
DET · B · 64%
SUN 4:25 PM-1.5
Green Bay Packers@Minnesota Vikings
GB @ MIN
MIN · B · 63%
SUN 1:00 PM-3.5
Baltimore Ravens@Indianapolis Colts
BAL @ IND
BAL · B · 63%
SUN 1:00 PM-3.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers@Cincinnati Bengals
TB @ CIN
CIN · B · 61%
SUN 1:00 PM-3.0
Atlanta Falcons@Pittsburgh Steelers
ATL @ PIT
PIT · B · 60%
SUN 8:20 PM-2.5
Dallas Cowboys@New York Giants
DAL @ NYG
DAL · C · 63%
SUN 1:00 PM+1.5
Buffalo Bills@Houston Texans
BUF @ HOU
HOU · C · 62%
SUN 1:00 PM-1.5
New York Jets@Tennessee Titans
NYJ @ TEN
TEN · C · 60%
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