PICKS
NFL PICKS
Week 6 Picks
We pick every game on the board and tier it by confidence. Every pick is graded, win or lose.
48-30-1
2026 RECORD
61.5%
ACCURACY
TIER HIT RATE · LAST 5 WEEKS
S1-0 · 100% LAST GRADED
A+3-0 · 100% LAST GRADED
A
FREE PICK OF THE WEEK
SF TO WIN
WAS @ SF · MON 8:15 PM
S
82% CONF
HIGH CONVICTION
BOARD COMPOSITION
—
HIGH CONF
—
CONVICTION
Before kickoff
Get every week's picks by email, free
Wednesday: our pick and win probability for every game, before kickoff. Tuesday: how they did, wins and losses. Unsubscribe anytime.
K Xu = theoretical quarter-Kelly stake, shown for reference only. Our tracked record bets a flat 1u on every pick, full Kellyon this model carries ~86% max drawdown, so we don't stake by it.
Before kickoff
Get every week's picks by email, free
Wednesday: our pick and win probability for every game, before kickoff. Tuesday: how they did, wins and losses. Unsubscribe anytime.
EVERY EDGE, EVERY WEEK
Every pick is free, confidence tiers, model moneyline, and full vote breakdowns. Pro adds the Edge: the games the model flags as bets, with Kelly reference sizing.
$69 MEMBERSHIP Renews automatically each season at $69 · cancel anytime
$19/MO 7 days free, then $19 monthly, September–January (5 charges) · Super Bowl month free · pauses for the offseason and keeps your access, then restarts next September with notice · cancel anytime
DISCLAIMER · For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting or financial advice. No guaranteed outcomes. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
PICKS ARCHIVE
125 WEEKS ON RECORDQUESTIONS
NoPunt's model has gone 1118-570-6 straight up (66.2%, ties excluded) across 1,694 graded NFL picks since 2020, every one published before kickoff and graded in public afterward. We don't claim to be the single most accurate model out there; we publish the full record so you can judge it yourself.
This week: Week 6 of the 2026 season, 14 games, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C. See the board above for the pick, win probability and predicted margin on every game.
