NFL WEEK 4 2024 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 7-9 straight up in Week 4 2024.
The most confident pick, the San Francisco 49ers at 73%, won 30-13.
Our most confident Week 4 pick is the San Francisco 49ers over the New England Patriots, at 73% win probability.
No game on the Week 4 slate is a coin flip; every pick clears 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Miami Dolphins at 70% win probability lost 12-31.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 5-7 (42%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 4 2024 pick is the San Francisco 49ers over the New England Patriots, at 73% win probability.
No game in Week 4 2024 is a coin flip on our model; every pick clears 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 4, 2024, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 7-9 straight up in Week 4 2024.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Miami Dolphins at 70% win probability lost 12-31. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 5-7 (42%) against a 66% all-time rate.