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BUF @ BAL · Week 4 2024 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
BUF @ BAL – Week 4 2024
BUF
BAL
BUF
AWAY
10
@
35
BAL +25
FINAL · WEEK 4
2024 SEASON
BAL
HOME
PRO PICK
THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED
Our team, side, tier, confidence and projected margin for BUF @ BAL are part of NoPunt Pro. One free Pick of the Week is open to everyone — the rest unlock with Pro.
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TEAM COMPARISON
BUF
METRIC
BAL
+0.181
NET EPA/PLAY
+0.258
+0.190
OFF EPA/PLAY
+0.219
+0.009
DEF EPA/PLAY
-0.039
612
POINTS FOR
571
432
POINTS AGAINST
402
51.8%
PASS RATE
47.0%
95.5%
RED ZONE TD%
95.7%
24.6%
4TH DOWN GO%
15.5%
BUFANALYTICS →
BALANALYTICS →
BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
+2.5
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
GAME TOTAL
PREDICTED TOTAL
45.7
ALL GAME TOTALS →
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BUF
road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
BAL
road_favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
68°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
BAL
BUF
KICKOFF
KEY PLAYERS
BUF
J.Allen
QB
372.3
PPR
J.Cook
RB
266.7
PPR
K.Shakir
WR
182.5
PPR
BAL
L.Jackson
QB
430.4
PPR
D.Henry
RB
336.4
PPR
Z.Flowers
WR
209.5
PPR
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 4
BUF
3 LISTED
Taron Johnson
CB · Forearm
OUT
Terrel Bernard
LB · Pectoral
OUT
Tylan Grable
T · Groin
OUT
BAL
4 LISTED
Michael Pierce
DT · Shoulder
DOUBTFUL
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 2 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
BAL
@
BUF
W1 2025
BAL 40, BUF 41
BUF
@
BAL
W4 2022
BUF 23, BAL 20
FULL COMPARISON →
BUF ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
BAL ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES
TEN
@
MIA
31-12
NE
@
SF
13-30
SEA
@
DET
29-42
DEN
@
NYJ
10-9
JAX
@
HOU
20-24
MIN
@
GB
31-29
WAS
@
ARI
42-14
← WEEK 4 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
BAL 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
BUF ROSTER →
BAL ROSTER →
Andrew Vorhees
G · Ankle
DOUBTFUL
Jalyn Armour-Davis
CB · Hamstring
OUT
Tyler Linderbaum
C · Knee
QUESTIONABLE
NO
@
ATL
24-26
PIT
@
IND
24-27
CIN
@
CAR
34-24
DAL
@
NYG
20-15
LA
@
CHI
18-24
KC
@
LAC
17-10
CLE
@
LV
16-20
PHI
@
TB
16-33
BAL SCHEME RATES
19 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
30.7%
BLITZ RATE
34.3%
MOTION
37.9%
RPO
2.0%
SCREEN
10.1%
NO HUDDLE
4.4%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.2
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
BUF SCHEME RATES
20 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
22.4%
BLITZ RATE
28.2%
MOTION
41.8%
RPO
4.7%
SCREEN
12.6%
NO HUDDLE
6.2%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
72.4%
Lamar Jackson
BAL
TIME TO THROW
2.85s
Lamar Jackson
BAL
SEPARATION
3.9 yds
Khalil Shakir
BUF
RUSH EFFICIENCY
2.5
Derrick Henry
BAL
AGGRESSIVENESS
24.1%
Josh Allen
BUF
AVG YAC
6.7 yds
Dalton Kincaid
BUF
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
BAL ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
12.4%
DROP %
5.4%
PRESSURE %
21.8%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
3.0
YAC/ATT
2.3
BROKEN TACKLES
64
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
69.6%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
87.4
MISSED TACKLE %
9.7%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON
BUF ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
16.3%
DROP %
3.6%
PRESSURE %
13.6%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.2
YAC/ATT
1.8
BROKEN TACKLES
39
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
69.7%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
88.1
MISSED TACKLE %
9.5%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON