Ravens vs Bills – Week 8 2026
BAL
BUF
BAL
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
Highmark Stadium · Orchard Park, NY
BUF
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Bills over the Ravens at 66% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: BUF 66%Our line: BUF -5.5
80% range around our line: BAL by 12 to BUF by 23. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the BUF game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
BUF —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
BUF -5.5
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
BUF · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
66%
BUF · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
55%
DIFFERENCE
+11%
| SPORTSBOOK | BAL | BUF | BUF WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 8 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.168Net EPA / play+0.077
+0.151 (5)Offense EPA / play+0.210 (1)
-0.017 (16)Defense EPA / play+0.134 (30)
50.7% (2)Offense success %49.1% (3)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
BUF is our early forecast in BAL @ BUF (Week 8, 2026). The model assigns 66% confidence and projects BUF by 5.5. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL@BUFW1 2025 | BAL 40, BUF 41 | BAL | L |
| BUF@BALW4 2024 | BUF 10, BAL 35 | BUF | L |
| BUF@BALW4 2022 | BUF 23, BAL 20 | BUF | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSBAL vs BUF
Our model takes Buffalo Bills at 66% win probability. The margin models project BUF by 5.5. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Buffalo Bills at 66% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Buffalo Bills, BAL 40, BUF 41 in Week 1 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Baltimore Ravens: BAL +0.168 against BUF +0.077.
