Eagles vs Commanders – Week 8 2026
PHI
WAS
PHI
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
Northwest Stadium · Landover, MD
WAS
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Eagles over the Commanders at 61% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: PHI 61%Our line: PHI -3.9
80% range around our line: WAS by 13 to PHI by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the PHI game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -3.9
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
61%
PHI · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
53%
DIFFERENCE
+8%
| SPORTSBOOK | PHI | WAS | PHI WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -125 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 8 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.196Net EPA / play-0.056
-0.127 (30)Offense EPA / play-0.015 (15)
+0.069 (24)Defense EPA / play+0.041 (23)
36.2% (31)Offense success %39.8% (27)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
PHI is our early forecast in PHI @ WAS (Week 8, 2026). The model assigns 61% confidence and projects PHI by 3.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@PHIW1 2026 | WAS 22, PHI 24 | PHI | W |
| WAS@PHIW18 2025 | WAS 24, PHI 17 | PHI | L |
| PHI@WASW16 2025 | PHI 29, WAS 18 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW16 2024 | PHI 33, WAS 36 | PHI | L |
| WAS@PHIW11 2024 | WAS 18, PHI 26 | PHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs WAS
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 61% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 3.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Philadelphia Eagles at 61% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, WAS 22, PHI 24 in Week 1 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Washington Commanders: PHI -0.196 against WAS -0.056.
