PHI @ WAS – Week 8 2026
PHI
WAS
PHI
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
WAS
HOME
Model confidence: PHI 66%Projected margin: -2.7
PHI
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.7
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.105Net EPA / play-0.137
+0.026Offense EPA / play+0.005
-0.079Defense EPA / play+0.142
43.1%Offense success %45.6%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: PHI at 66%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
PHI generates 0.026 EPA/play on offense. WAS's defense allows 0.142. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
TEMPO
PHI runs no-huddle on 19% of plays -- a fast tempo that can exploit defensive fatigue.
H2H EDGE
PHI has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against WAS.
Multiple signals align in PHI's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PHI market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
220.3SEASON PPR
WAS
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Philadelphia EaglesPASSING
J.Hurts3224 yd · 25 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
S.Barkley1140 yd · 7 TD
J.Hurts421 yd · 8 TD
T.Bigsby344 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
D.Smith77 rec · 1008 yd · 4 TD
A.Brown78 rec · 1003 yd · 7 TD
D.Goedert60 rec · 591 yd · 11 TD
S.Barkley37 rec · 273 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,224PASSyds1,695
1,905RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@PHIW1 2026 | — | PHI | — |
| WAS@PHIW18 2025 | WAS 24, PHI 17 | PHI | L |
| PHI@WASW16 2025 | PHI 29, WAS 18 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW16 2024 | PHI 33, WAS 36 | PHI | L |
| WAS@PHIW11 2024 | WAS 18, PHI 26 | PHI | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs WAS
Who is favored in Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders?
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 66% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 2.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders play?
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Who won the last Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders game?
Washington Commanders, 24-17 in Week 18 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Philadelphia Eagles or the Washington Commanders?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: PHI +0.105 against WAS -0.137.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
