WAS @ PHI – Week 1 2026
WAS
PHI
WAS
AWAY
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 1 · 2026 SEASON
PHI
HOME
OUR PICK
TIER A
PICK: PHI
Model confidence: PHI 71%Projected margin: -6.1
PHI
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
-6.1
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
-205
LIVE ML
GAME NARRATIVE
Model favors PHI (A-tier, 71% confidence).
HIGH CONVICTION
PHI is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
H2H EDGE
PHI has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against WAS.
Net-positive signal profile for PHI. Grade: A.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | -205 | Last observed market ML |
MODEL IMPLIED
65.6%
MARKET IMPLIED
67.2%
MODEL EDGE
-1.6%
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@PHIW18 2025 | WAS 24, PHI 17 | PHI | L |
| PHI@WASW16 2025 | PHI 29, WAS 18 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW16 2024 | PHI 33, WAS 36 | PHI | L |
| WAS@PHIW11 2024 | WAS 18, PHI 26 | PHI | W |
| PHI@WASW8 2023 | PHI 38, WAS 31 | PHI | W |
