GB @ MIN – Week 1 2026
GB
MIN
GB
AWAY
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 1 · 2026 SEASON
MIN
HOME
OUR PICK
TIER B
PICK: MIN
Model confidence: MIN 63%Projected margin: -2.6
MIN
PICK SIDE
-1.5
SPREAD
-2.6
PROJ MARGIN
-124
MODEL ML
-118
LIVE ML
GAME NARRATIVE
Model favors MIN (B-tier, 63% confidence).
HIGH CONVICTION
MIN is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
H2H EDGE
MIN has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against GB.
Net-positive signal profile for MIN. Grade: B.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.5 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | -118 | Last observed market ML |
MODEL IMPLIED
55.4%
MARKET IMPLIED
54.1%
MODEL EDGE
+1.2%
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@MINW18 2025 | GB 3, MIN 16 | GB | L |
| MIN@GBW12 2025 | MIN 6, GB 23 | GB | W |
| GB@MINW17 2024 | GB 25, MIN 27 | MIN | W |
| MIN@GBW4 2024 | MIN 31, GB 29 | GB | L |
| GB@MINW17 2023 | GB 33, MIN 10 | MIN | L |
