2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
COACHING TENDENCIES
FULL RANKINGS →PASS RATE
58.0%
EARLY DOWN PASS
52.8%
SHOTGUN RATE
55.7%
NO HUDDLE
7.5%
4TH DOWN GO
19.7%
4TH DOWN CONV
62.5%
3RD DOWN CONV
32.3%
RED ZONE TD
71.4%
GOAL-TO-GO TD
73.3%
2-MIN DRILL EPA
-0.076
PTS/DRIVE
1.3
PLAYS/DRIVE
5.4
COACHING TREND
2020–2025 · 6 SEASONS| SEASON | PASS% | 4TH GO% | 3RD CONV% | RZ TD% | PTS/DRV | HALF ADJ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58.0% | 19.7% | 32.3% | 71.4% | 1.3 | +0.008 |
| 2024 | 58.8% | 14.5% | 39.8% | 78.3% | 1.7 | +0.007 |
| 2023 | 63.6% | 23.7% | 38.1% | 70.0% | 1.5 | +0.019 |
| 2022 | 65.0% | 16.5% | 41.1% | 82.6% | 1.8 | +0.009 |
| 2021 | 58.7% | 16.8% | 36.6% | 77.3% | 1.6 | -0.032 |
| 2020 | 54.6% | 23.2% | 41.1% | 69.6% | 2.2 | +0.061 |
TOP PLAYERS
ALL LEADERS →| PLAYER | POS | GP | PASS YD | RUSH YD | REC YD | TD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.McCarthy | QB | 10 | 1,632 | 181 | — | 15 | 125.4 |
| J.Mason | RB | 16 | — | 758 | 51 | 6 | 128.9 |
| A.Jones | RB | 12 | — | 548 | 199 | 3 | 118.7 |
| J.Jefferson | WR | 17 | — | 7 | 1,048 | 2 | 201.5 |
| J.Addison | WR | 14 | — | 81 | 610 | 4 | 135.1 |
| J.Nailor | WR | 17 | — | 13 | 444 | 4 | 100.7 |
| T.Hockenson | TE | 15 | — | — | 438 | 3 | 112.8 |
HOME / AWAY
GAME RESULTS BY LOCATIONHOME
30-20
60% WIN RATE
AWAY
28-21
57% WIN RATE
NOPUNT PICK RECORD
40-15
PICKS FOR
73%
FOR ACCURACY
26-18
PICKS AGAINST
59%
AGAINST ACCURACY
99
GAMES TRACKED
ATS SPLITS
WHEN WE PICK MINHOME
11-17
39.3%
AWAY
16-8
66.7%
FAVORITE
22-21
51.2%
UNDERDOG
5-4
55.6%
A+ TIER
1-3
A TIER
0-3
B TIER
19-13
C TIER
6-6
BY OPPONENT
MIN 2 PICKS FOR MIN
vs NYG2-0
vs ARI2-0
vs JAX2-0
vs NYJ2-0
vs NO2-0
vs CAR3-0
vs CHI9-2
vs GB3-1
vs DET4-2
vs ATL2-2
vs TB0-2
vs DAL0-2
PICK HISTORY
NEWEST FIRST| Week | Matchup | Our Pick | Tier | Conf. | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025·W18 | GB @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | C | 57% | GB 3–16 MIN | WIN |
| 2025·W17 | DET @ MINTHU 4:30 PM | DET | C | 38% | DET 10–23 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2025·W16 | MIN @ NYGSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 42% | MIN 16–13 NYG | WIN |
| 2025·W15 | MIN @ DALSUN 8:20 PM | DAL | A | 67% | MIN 34–26 DAL | LOSS (vs) |
| 2025·W14 | WAS @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | WAS | C | 47% | WAS 0–31 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2025·W13 | MIN @ SEASUN 4:05 PM | SEA | S | 80% | MIN 0–26 SEA | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W12 | MIN @ GBSUN 1:00 PM | GB | A+ | 70% | MIN 6–23 GB | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W11 | CHI @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | CHI | B | 42% | CHI 19–17 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W10 | BAL @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | BAL | B | 35% | BAL 27–19 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W9 | MIN @ DETSUN 1:00 PM | DET | S | 78% | MIN 27–24 DET | LOSS (vs) |
| 2025·W8 | MIN @ LACTHU 8:15 PM | LAC | B | 57% | MIN 10–37 LAC | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W7 | PHI @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | PHI | C | 47% | PHI 28–22 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W5 | MIN @ CLESUN 9:30 AM | MIN | C | 41% | MIN 21–17 CLE | WIN |
| 2025·W4 | MIN @ PITSUN 9:30 AM | PIT | B | 54% | MIN 21–24 PIT | WIN (vs) |
| 2025·W3 | CIN @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | CIN | B | 44% | CIN 10–48 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2025·W2 | ATL @ MINSUN 8:20 PM | MIN | C | 59% | ATL 22–6 MIN | LOSS |
| 2025·W1 | MIN @ CHIMON 8:15 PM | MIN | B | 35% | MIN 27–24 CHI | WIN |
| 2024·W18 | MIN @ DETSUN 8:20 PM | DET | B | 65% | MIN 9–31 DET | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W17 | GB @ MINSUN 4:25 PM | MIN | C | 49% | GB 25–27 MIN | WIN |
| 2024·W16 | MIN @ SEASUN 4:05 PM | MIN | B | 42% | MIN 27–24 SEA | WIN |
| 2024·W15 | CHI @ MINMON 8:00 PM | MIN | S | 78% | CHI 12–30 MIN | WIN |
| 2024·W14 | ATL @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 61% | ATL 21–42 MIN | WIN |
| 2024·W13 | ARI @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 56% | ARI 22–23 MIN | WIN |
| 2024·W12 | MIN @ CHISUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 36% | MIN 30–27 CHI | WIN |
| 2024·W11 | MIN @ TENSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 34% | MIN 23–13 TEN | WIN |
| 2024·W10 | MIN @ JAXSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | C | 45% | MIN 12–7 JAX | WIN |
| 2024·W9 | IND @ MINSUN 8:20 PM | IND | C | 55% | IND 13–21 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W8 | MIN @ LATHU 8:15 PM | LA | B | 53% | MIN 20–30 LA | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W7 | DET @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | DET | B | 45% | DET 31–29 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2024·W5 | NYJ @ MINSUN 9:30 AM | MIN | B | 61% | NYJ 17–23 MIN | WIN |
| 2024·W4 | MIN @ GBSUN 1:00 PM | GB | B | 57% | MIN 31–29 GB | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W3 | HOU @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | HOU | C | 49% | HOU 7–34 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W2 | SF @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | SF | B | 38% | SF 17–23 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2024·W1 | MIN @ NYGSUN 1:00 PM | NYG | C | 49% | MIN 28–6 NYG | LOSS (vs) |
| 2023·W18 | MIN @ DETSUN 1:00 PM | DET | A+ | 72% | MIN 20–30 DET | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W17 | GB @ MINSUN 8:20 PM | MIN | C | 51% | GB 33–10 MIN | LOSS |
| 2023·W16 | DET @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | DET | B | 45% | DET 30–24 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W15 | MIN @ CINSAT 1:00 PM | CIN | B | 58% | MIN 24–27 CIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W14 | MIN @ LVSUN 4:05 PM | MIN | B | 45% | MIN 3–0 LV | WIN |
| 2023·W12 | CHI @ MINMON 8:15 PM | MIN | A+ | 68% | CHI 12–10 MIN | LOSS |
| 2023·W11 | MIN @ DENSUN 8:20 PM | MIN | C | 42% | MIN 20–21 DEN | LOSS |
| 2023·W10 | NO @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 56% | NO 19–27 MIN | WIN |
| 2023·W9 | MIN @ ATLSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | C | 47% | MIN 31–28 ATL | WIN |
| 2023·W8 | MIN @ GBSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 47% | MIN 24–10 GB | WIN |
| 2023·W7 | SF @ MINMON 8:15 PM | SF | B | 39% | SF 17–22 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2023·W6 | MIN @ CHISUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 32% | MIN 19–13 CHI | WIN |
| 2023·W5 | KC @ MINSUN 4:25 PM | KC | B | 34% | KC 27–20 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W4 | MIN @ CARSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 39% | MIN 21–13 CAR | WIN |
| 2023·W3 | LAC @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 52% | LAC 28–24 MIN | LOSS |
| 2023·W2 | MIN @ PHITHU 8:15 PM | PHI | C | 53% | MIN 28–34 PHI | WIN (vs) |
| 2023·W1 | TB @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | C | 57% | TB 20–17 MIN | LOSS |
| 2022·W18 | MIN @ CHISUN 1:00 PM | MIN | A+ | 25% | MIN 29–13 CHI | WIN |
| 2022·W17 | MIN @ GBSUN 4:25 PM | GB | B | 53% | MIN 17–41 GB | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W16 | NYG @ MINSAT 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 63% | NYG 24–27 MIN | WIN |
| 2022·W15 | IND @ MINSAT 1:00 PM | MIN | A | 65% | IND 36–39 MIN | WIN |
| 2022·W14 | MIN @ DETSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 45% | MIN 23–34 DET | LOSS |
| 2022·W13 | NYJ @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 61% | NYJ 22–27 MIN | WIN |
| 2022·W12 | NE @ MINTHU 8:20 PM | NE | B | 49% | NE 26–33 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2022·W11 | DAL @ MINSUN 4:25 PM | MIN | B | 52% | DAL 40–3 MIN | LOSS |
| 2022·W10 | MIN @ BUFSUN 1:00 PM | BUF | C | 54% | MIN 33–30 BUF | LOSS (vs) |
| 2022·W9 | MIN @ WASSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 37% | MIN 20–17 WAS | WIN |
| 2022·W8 | ARI @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 60% | ARI 26–34 MIN | WIN |
| 2022·W6 | MIN @ MIASUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 43% | MIN 24–16 MIA | WIN |
| 2022·W5 | CHI @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | A | 67% | CHI 22–29 MIN | WIN |
| 2022·W4 | MIN @ NOSUN 9:30 AM | MIN | B | 41% | MIN 28–25 NO | WIN |
| 2022·W3 | DET @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 57% | DET 24–28 MIN | WIN |
| 2022·W2 | MIN @ PHIMON 8:30 PM | PHI | C | 49% | MIN 7–24 PHI | WIN (vs) |
| 2022·W1 | GB @ MINSUN 4:25 PM | GB | B | 38% | GB 7–23 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2021·W18 | CHI @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 54% | CHI 17–31 MIN | WIN |
| 2021·W17 | MIN @ GBSUN 8:20 PM | GB | A+ | 70% | MIN 10–37 GB | WIN (vs) |
| 2021·W16 | LA @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | LA | B | 47% | LA 30–23 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2021·W15 | MIN @ CHIMON 8:15 PM | MIN | B | 32% | MIN 17–9 CHI | WIN |
| 2021·W14 | PIT @ MINTHU 8:20 PM | MIN | B | 54% | PIT 28–36 MIN | WIN |
| 2021·W13 | MIN @ DETSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 32% | MIN 27–29 DET | LOSS |
| 2021·W12 | MIN @ SFSUN 4:25 PM | MIN | B | 49% | MIN 26–34 SF | LOSS |
| 2021·W11 | GB @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | GB | B | 40% | GB 31–34 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2021·W10 | MIN @ LACSUN 4:05 PM | LAC | C | 51% | MIN 27–20 LAC | LOSS (vs) |
| 2021·W9 | MIN @ BALSUN 1:00 PM | BAL | B | 60% | MIN 31–34 BAL | WIN (vs) |
| 2021·W8 | DAL @ MINSUN 8:20 PM | DAL | C | 53% | DAL 20–16 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2021·W6 | MIN @ CARSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 45% | MIN 34–28 CAR | WIN |
| 2021·W5 | DET @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 65% | DET 17–19 MIN | WIN |
| 2021·W4 | CLE @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | CLE | B | 45% | CLE 14–7 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2021·W3 | SEA @ MINSUN 4:25 PM | SEA | B | 42% | SEA 17–30 MIN | LOSS (vs) |
| 2021·W2 | MIN @ ARISUN 4:05 PM | ARI | C | 55% | — | — |
| 2021·W1 | MIN @ CINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 38% | MIN 24–27 CIN | LOSS |
| 2020·W17 | MIN @ DETSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | C | 37% | MIN 37–35 DET | WIN |
| 2020·W16 | MIN @ NOFRI 4:30 PM | NO | B | 60% | MIN 33–52 NO | WIN (vs) |
| 2020·W15 | CHI @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 61% | CHI 33–27 MIN | LOSS |
| 2020·W14 | MIN @ TBSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | C | 48% | MIN 14–26 TB | LOSS |
| 2020·W13 | JAX @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | A+ | 75% | JAX 24–27 MIN | WIN |
| 2020·W12 | CAR @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | A | 65% | CAR 27–28 MIN | WIN |
| 2020·W11 | DAL @ MINSUN 4:25 PM | MIN | A+ | 71% | DAL 31–28 MIN | LOSS |
| 2020·W10 | MIN @ CHIMON 8:15 PM | MIN | C | 40% | MIN 19–13 CHI | WIN |
| 2020·W9 | DET @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 62% | DET 20–34 MIN | WIN |
| 2020·W8 | MIN @ GBSUN 1:00 PM | GB | A+ | 69% | MIN 28–22 GB | LOSS (vs) |
| 2020·W6 | ATL @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 60% | ATL 40–23 MIN | LOSS |
| 2020·W5 | MIN @ SEASUN 8:20 PM | SEA | B | 58% | MIN 26–27 SEA | WIN (vs) |
| 2020·W4 | MIN @ HOUSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 45% | MIN 31–23 HOU | WIN |
| 2020·W3 | TEN @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | TEN | B | 44% | TEN 31–30 MIN | WIN (vs) |
| 2020·W2 | MIN @ INDSUN 1:00 PM | MIN | B | 43% | — | — |
| 2020·W1 | GB @ MINSUN 1:00 PM | GB | C | 49% | GB 43–34 MIN | WIN (vs) |