2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ SEA – Week 16 2024
MIN
SEA
MIN
AWAY
27@24
MIN +3
FINAL · WEEK 16
2024 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIN 63%Projected margin: -2.3
MIN
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-2.3
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIN by 2.3. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 0.7 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -148 | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
SEA
home_underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
48°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
317.5SEASON PPR
S.Darnold
QB
308.0SEASON PPR
A.Jones
RB
241.6SEASON PPR
SEA
G.Smith
QB
266.0SEASON PPR
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
253.0SEASON PPR
D.Metcalf
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@SEAW13 2025 | MIN 0, SEA 26 | SEA | W |
| SEA@MINW3 2021 | SEA 17, MIN 30 | SEA | L |
| MIN@SEAW5 2020 | MIN 26, SEA 27 | SEA | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES