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NE @ BUF · Week 16 2024 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ BUF – Week 16 2024
NE
BUF
NE
AWAY
21
@
24
BUF +3
FINAL · WEEK 16
2024 SEASON
BUF
HOME
PRO PICK
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TEAM COMPARISON
NE
METRIC
BUF
-0.153
NET EPA/PLAY
+0.181
-0.083
OFF EPA/PLAY
+0.190
+0.070
DEF EPA/PLAY
+0.009
289
POINTS FOR
612
417
POINTS AGAINST
432
57.1%
PASS RATE
51.8%
66.7%
RED ZONE TD%
95.5%
19.2%
4TH DOWN GO%
24.6%
NEANALYTICS →
BUFANALYTICS →
BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
+14.0
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
GAME TOTAL
PREDICTED TOTAL
46.6
ALL GAME TOTALS →
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
No noteworthy trends
BUF
road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
14°F
WIND
2 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
BUF
NE
KEY PLAYERS
NE
D.Maye
QB
177.1
PPR
R.Stevenson
RB
175.9
PPR
D.Douglas
WR
147.7
PPR
BUF
J.Allen
QB
372.3
PPR
J.Cook
RB
266.7
PPR
K.Shakir
WR
182.5
PPR
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 16
NE
7 LISTED
Marcus Jones
CB · Hip
OUT
Jamycal Hasty
RB · Ankle
OUT
Kyle Dugger
S · Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
Jabrill Peppers
S · Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
Cole Strange
G · Knee
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 5 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
BUF
@
NE
W15 2025
BUF 35, NE 31
NE
@
BUF
W5 2025
NE 23, BUF 20
BUF
@
NE
W18 2024
BUF 16, NE 23
NE
@
BUF
W17 2023
NE 21, BUF 27
BUF
@
NE
W7 2023
BUF 25, NE 29
FULL COMPARISON →
NE ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
BUF ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES
TEN
@
IND
30-38
NO
@
GB
0-34
CLE
@
CIN
6-24
HOU
@
KC
19-27
NYG
@
ATL
7-34
PIT
@
BAL
17-34
SF
@
MIA
17-29
← WEEK 16 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
KICKOFF
BUF 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
NE ROSTER →
BUF ROSTER →
Keion White
DE · Groin
QUESTIONABLE
Caedan Wallace
T · Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
BUF
7 LISTED
Curtis Samuel
WR · Rib
QUESTIONABLE
Rasul Douglas
CB · Knee
QUESTIONABLE
Matt Milano
LB · Biceps
QUESTIONABLE
Taylor Rapp
S · Neck
QUESTIONABLE
Damar Hamlin
S · Rib
QUESTIONABLE
Baylon Spector
LB · Calf
QUESTIONABLE
Dorian Williams
LB · Elbow
QUESTIONABLE
MIN
@
SEA
27-24
JAX
@
LV
14-19
ARI
@
CAR
30-36
LA
@
NYJ
19-9
PHI
@
WAS
33-36
TB
@
DAL
24-26
DEN
@
LAC
27-34
DET
@
CHI
34-17
BUF SCHEME RATES
20 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
22.4%
BLITZ RATE
28.2%
MOTION
41.8%
RPO
4.7%
SCREEN
12.6%
NO HUDDLE
6.2%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
NE SCHEME RATES
17 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
21.4%
BLITZ RATE
29.4%
MOTION
31.1%
RPO
5.3%
SCREEN
10.8%
NO HUDDLE
8.6%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
55.3%
Josh Allen
BUF
TIME TO THROW
2.64s
Drake Maye
NE
SEPARATION
5.7 yds
Demario Douglas
NE
RUSH EFFICIENCY
2.6
James Cook
BUF
AGGRESSIVENESS
31.0%
Josh Allen
BUF
AVG YAC
8.7 yds
Demario Douglas
NE
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
NE ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
26.2%
DROP %
5.1%
PRESSURE %
22.9%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.8
YAC/ATT
1.7
BROKEN TACKLES
28
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
70.6%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
87.6
MISSED TACKLE %
8.7%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON
BUF ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
16.3%
DROP %
3.6%
PRESSURE %
13.6%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.2
YAC/ATT
1.8
BROKEN TACKLES
39
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
69.7%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
88.1
MISSED TACKLE %
9.5%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON