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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

MIA

AWAY

17@29

MIA +12

FINAL · WEEK 16

2024 SEASON

MIA

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

SF	METRIC	MIA
+0.028	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.017
+0.069	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.039
+0.041	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.022
389	POINTS FOR	345
436	POINTS AGAINST	364
55.6%	PASS RATE	59.0%
81.8%	RED ZONE TD%	81.0%
15.4%	4TH DOWN GO%	24.8%

SFANALYTICS →MIAANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-2.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

46.0

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

SF

road_favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

MIA

No noteworthy trends

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

73°F

WIND

12 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

SF

B.Purdy

QB

266.9PPR

G.Kittle

TE

236.6PPR

J.Jennings

WR

210.5PPR

MIA

D.Achane

RB

299.9PPR

J.Smith

TE

222.3PPR

T.Hill

WR

218.2PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 16

SF5 LISTED

Trent Williams

T · Ankle

OUT

Isaac Guerendo

RB · Foot

OUT

Dre Greenlaw

LB · Achilles

QUESTIONABLE

Nick Bosa

DE · Hip

QUESTIONABLE

Robert Beal

DE · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
MIA@SFW13 2022	MIA 17, SF 33
MIA@SFW5 2020	MIA 43, SF 17

FULL COMPARISON →

SF ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

MIA ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES

TEN@IND

30-38

NO@GB

0-34

CLE@CIN

6-24

HOU@KC

19-27

NYG@ATL

7-34

PIT@BAL

17-34

MIN@SEA

27-24

← WEEK 16 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

MIA8 LISTED

Jaylen Waddle

WR · Knee

DOUBTFUL

D'Wayne Eskridge

WR · Knee

DOUBTFUL

Blake Ferguson

LS · Illness

OUT

Bradley Chubb

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Terron Armstead

T · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Cameron Goode

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Kendall Lamm

T · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Tyreek Hill

WR · Wrist

QUESTIONABLE

MIA SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

26.8%

BLITZ RATE

18.4%

MOTION

61.9%

RPO

1.5%

SCREEN

14.7%

NO HUDDLE

5.2%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

SF SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.4%

BLITZ RATE

30.5%

MOTION

55.6%

RPO

0.6%

SCREEN

8.4%

NO HUDDLE

2.9%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

67.7%

Brock PurdySF

TIME TO THROW

2.45s

Tua TagovailoaMIA

SEPARATION

5.0 yds

Deebo Samuel Sr.SF

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.3

De'Von AchaneMIA

AGGRESSIVENESS

20.6%

Tua TagovailoaMIA

AVG YAC

13.2 yds

Deebo Samuel Sr.SF

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

SF ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

18.4%

DROP %

4.3%

PRESSURE %

16.8%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

24

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

68.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

86.0

MISSED TACKLE %

11.2%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

MIA ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.6%

DROP %

4.9%

PRESSURE %

19.0%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.3

YAC/ATT

1.3

BROKEN TACKLES

13

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

62.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

82.7

MISSED TACKLE %

10.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

SF @ MIA – Week 16 2024