MIA @ SF – Week 5 2020

SF B-tier pick misses. MIA takes it.

Model picked SF but MIA won. Projected margin was 4.7 -- the model overestimated by 30.7 points.

Missed the spread by 34.5 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.