2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ PIT – Week 5 2020
PHI
PIT
PHI
AWAY
29@38
PIT +9
FINAL · WEEK 5
2020 SEASON
PIT
HOME
TIER C
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 55%Projected margin: 2.0
PIT
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
2.0
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PIT. Projected margin: 2.0. Actual: 9. Off by 7.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -372 | Won · +$0.34 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
70°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
Carson Wentz
QB
198.4SEASON PPR
Miles Sanders
RB
170.4SEASON PPR
Greg Ward
WR
133.1SEASON PPR
PIT
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
267.2SEASON PPR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
234.1SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@PHIW15 2024 | PIT 13, PHI 27 | PHI | W |
| PIT@PHIW8 2022 | PIT 13, PHI 35 | PHI | W |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES