Steelers vs Eagles – Week 8 2022
PIT
PHI
PIT
AWAY
13@35
PHI BY 22
FINAL · WEEK 8
2022 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 13, Philadelphia Eagles 35.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 73% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Steelers.
Model confidence: PHI 73%Our line: PHI -8.4
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -11.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -8.4
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
73%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 8
-0.012Net EPA / play+0.172
+0.012 (12)Offense EPA / play+0.107 (3)
+0.024 (26)Defense EPA / play-0.064 (5)
45.1% (12)Offense success %48.3% (3)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 8.4. Actual: 22. Off by 13.6 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
PIT
No noteworthy trends
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Pittsburgh SteelersPASSING
Kenny Pickett2404 yd · 7 TD · 9 INT
RECEIVING
Diontae Johnson86 rec · 882 yd · 0 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@PHIW15 2024 | PIT 13, PHI 27 | PHI | W |
| PHI@PITW5 2020 | PHI 29, PIT 38 | PIT | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSPIT vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 73% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project PHI by 8.4. The market has PHI at -11.0.
Philadelphia Eagles won, PIT 13, PHI 35. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 73% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -11.0, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 11.0 points.
In Week 8, the Pittsburgh Steelers were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 43.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 48.0, 5.0 above the market.
Week 8 of the 2022 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, PIT 13, PHI 27 in Week 15 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Philadelphia Eagles: PIT -0.012 against PHI +0.172.
