Cardinals vs Vikings – Week 8 2022
ARI
MIN
ARI
AWAY
26@34
MIN BY 8
FINAL · WEEK 8
2022 SEASON
U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN
MIN
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Arizona Cardinals 26, Minnesota Vikings 34.
Going in, our model had favored Minnesota Vikings at 66% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 5 Cardinals.
Model confidence: MIN 66%Our line: MIN -5.4
ODDS
SPREAD
MIN -4.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
MIN -5.4
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
MIN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
66%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 8
-0.104Net EPA / play-0.023
-0.088 (28)Offense EPA / play-0.011 (19)
+0.016 (23)Defense EPA / play+0.012 (21)
40.6% (26)Offense success %44.9% (13)
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIN by 5.4. Actual: 8 points. The model was within 2.6 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
ARI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
MIN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
MIN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Arizona CardinalsPASSING
Kyler Murray2368 yd · 14 TD · 7 INT
RUSHING
James Conner782 yd · 7 TD
Kyler Murray418 yd · 3 TD
Eno Benjamin299 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
DeAndre Hopkins64 rec · 717 yd · 3 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@MINW13 2024 | ARI 22, MIN 23 | MIN | W |
| MIN@ARIW2 2021 | MIN 33, ARI 34 | ARI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSARI vs MIN
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 66% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project MIN by 5.4. The market has MIN at -4.0.
Minnesota Vikings won, ARI 26, MIN 34. Our model had favored Minnesota Vikings at 66% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Minnesota Vikings at -4.0, meaning the book expects Minnesota Vikings to win by 4.0 points.
In Week 8, the Arizona Cardinals were without 5 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 48.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.6, 2.9 below the market.
Week 8 of the 2022 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Minnesota Vikings, ARI 22, MIN 23 in Week 13 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Minnesota Vikings: ARI -0.104 against MIN -0.023.
