2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ARI @ MIN – Week 8 2022
ARI
MIN
ARI
AWAY
26@34
MIN +8
FINAL · WEEK 8
2022 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIN 66%Projected margin: 5.1
MIN
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
5.1
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIN by 5.1. Actual: 8 points. The model was within 2.9 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -199 | Won · +$0.56 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ARI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
MIN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
ARI
Kyler Murray
QB
200.5SEASON PPR
James Conner
RB
200.2SEASON PPR
Marquise Brown
WR
156.0SEASON PPR
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
368.7SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
291.6SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@MINW13 2024 | ARI 22, MIN 23 | MIN | W |
| MIN@ARIW2 2021 | MIN 33, ARI 34 | ARI | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES