Bengals vs Browns – Week 8 2022
CIN
CLE
CIN
AWAY
13@32
CLE BY 19
FINAL · WEEK 8
2022 SEASON
Huntington Bank Field · Cleveland, OH
CLE
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Cincinnati Bengals 13, Cleveland Browns 32.
Going in, our model had favored Cincinnati Bengals at 63% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 4 Bengals, 4 Browns.
Model confidence: CIN 63%Our line: CIN -4.7
ODDS
SPREAD
CIN -3.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
CIN -4.7
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
CIN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
63%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 8
+0.125Net EPA / play-0.001
+0.077 (5)Offense EPA / play+0.012 (10)
-0.048 (10)Defense EPA / play+0.014 (22)
47.3% (4)Offense success %44.0% (19)
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN B-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CIN but CLE won. Projected margin was 4.7, the model overestimated by 23.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 22.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
CIN
Road Favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
CLE
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
66°F
WIND
9 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CLE
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@CINW18 2025 | CLE 20, CIN 18 | CIN | L |
| CIN@CLEW1 2025 | CIN 17, CLE 16 | CIN | W |
| CLE@CINW16 2024 | CLE 6, CIN 24 | CIN | W |
| CIN@CLEW7 2024 | CIN 21, CLE 14 | CIN | W |
| CLE@CINW18 2023 | CLE 14, CIN 31 | CLE | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCIN vs CLE
Our model takes Cincinnati Bengals at 63% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project CIN by 4.7. The market has CIN at -3.0.
Cleveland Browns won, CIN 13, CLE 32. Our model had favored Cincinnati Bengals at 63% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Cincinnati Bengals at -3.0, meaning the book expects Cincinnati Bengals to win by 3.0 points.
In Week 8, the Cincinnati Bengals were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Cleveland Browns were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 45.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 47.8, 2.8 above the market.
Week 8 of the 2022 season, MON 8:15 PM.
Cleveland Browns, CLE 20, CIN 18 in Week 18 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Cincinnati Bengals: CIN +0.125 against CLE -0.001.
