2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
GB @ BUF – Week 8 2022
GB
BUF
GB
AWAY
17@27
BUF +10
FINAL · WEEK 8
2022 SEASON
BUF
HOME
TIER B
PICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: BUF 69%Projected margin: 6.2
BUF
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
6.2
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BUF. Projected margin: 6.2. Actual: 10. Off by 3.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 0.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | BUF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -445 | Won · +$0.22 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
GB
No noteworthy trends
BUF
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
GB
Aaron Jones
RB
248.6SEASON PPR
Aaron Rodgers
QB
239.2SEASON PPR
Allen Lazard
WR
174.8SEASON PPR
BUF
Josh Allen
QB
395.5SEASON PPR
Stefon Diggs
WR
316.6SEASON PPR
Devin Singletary
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES