DRAMA
WIN PROBABILITY
Most Dramatic Games
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos had the wildest win-probability ride of the season -- the games that came down to the wire.
11.7
TOP · BUF@DEN
12
GAMES RANKED
152
TOTAL WP SWINGS
Came Down to the Wire
WP SWINGRanked by total win-probability swing -- how far the home team's live win odds traveled across the game, plus every time the line crossed 50%. Higher drama scores mean a wilder ride (more back-and-forth, more lead flips); a methodical blowout scores near zero, so #1 below is this season's wildest finish. The sparkline traces home win probability from kickoff (left) to final (right); the dashed line is even odds. These are WP swings, not scoreboard lead changes.
#1WEEK 20
DRAMA 11.7
BUF
DEN14 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#2WEEK 11
DRAMA 11.5
WAS
MIA14 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#3WEEK 9
DRAMA 11.2
JAX
LV13 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#4WEEK 1
DRAMA 10.4
CIN
CLE15 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#5WEEK 16
DRAMA 10.3
PIT
DET13 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#6WEEK 20
DRAMA 10.0
LA
CHI13 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#7WEEK 5
DRAMA 9.4
TB
SEA11 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#8WEEK 1
DRAMA 9.2
SFSEA11 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#9WEEK 16
DRAMA 9.2TB
CAR12 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#10WEEK 2
DRAMA 9.2SEAPIT13 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#11WEEK 19
DRAMA 9.2
HOUPIT13 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →
#12WEEK 4
DRAMA 9.2
GB
DAL10 WP SWINGSVIEW GAME →