ARI @ LA – Week 6 2026
ARI
LA
ARI
AWAY
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 6 · 2026 SEASON
LA
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: LA 85%Projected margin: -13.3
LA
PICK SIDE
-13.5
SPREAD
-13.3
PROJ MARGIN
-698
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.107Net EPA / play+0.206
-0.018Offense EPA / play+0.145
+0.088Defense EPA / play-0.061
43.0%Offense success %51.8%
48.5%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
S-tier pick on LA at 85% confidence.
EPA EDGE
LA generates 0.145 EPA/play on offense. ARI's defense allows 0.088. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
S-TIER
S-tier. Only the most extreme edges earn this grade. Historically NoPunt's highest hit-rate tier.
HIGH CONVICTION
LA is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
LA goes for it on 4th down 29% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
H2H EDGE
LA has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against ARI.
Multiple signals align in LA's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.5 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -698 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
ARI
T.McBride
TE
315.9SEASON PPR
J.Brissett
QB
227.4SEASON PPR
Mi.Wilson
WR
220.6SEASON PPR
LA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Arizona CardinalsPASSING
J.Brissett3366 yd · 23 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
M.Carter333 yd · 1 TD
E.Demercado312 yd · 0 TD
Z.Knight269 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
T.McBride126 rec · 1239 yd · 11 TD
Mi.Wilson78 rec · 1006 yd · 7 TD
M.Harrison41 rec · 608 yd · 4 TD
E.Higgins30 rec · 301 yd · 0 TD
VS
3,366PASSyds4,707
914RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@ARIW10 2026 | — | LA | — |
| ARI@LAW18 2025 | ARI 20, LA 37 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW14 2025 | LA 45, ARI 17 | LA | W |
| ARI@LAW17 2024 | ARI 9, LA 13 | LA | W |
| LA@ARIW2 2024 | LA 10, ARI 41 | LA | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSARI vs LA
Who is favored in Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams?
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 85% win probability, a Tier S pick. The margin models project LA by 13.3. The market has LA at -13.5.
When do the Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Rams play?
Week 6 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Who won the last Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams game?
Los Angeles Rams, 20-37 in Week 18 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Arizona Cardinals or the Los Angeles Rams?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Rams: ARI -0.107 against LA +0.206.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
