LAC @ KC – Week 6 2026
LAC
KC
LAC
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 6 · 2026 SEASON
KC
HOME
Model confidence: LAC 63%Projected margin: -1.8
LAC
PICK SIDE
+2.5
SPREAD
-1.8
PROJ MARGIN
+143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.059Net EPA / play+0.055
-0.024Offense EPA / play+0.035
-0.083Defense EPA / play-0.020
43.1%Offense success %44.5%
41.4%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
LAC is our B-tier play in LAC @ KC (Week 6, 2026). The model assigns 63.5% confidence and projects LAC by 1.8. Market spread sits at LAC +2.5.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +2.5 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | +143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
286.9SEASON PPR
K.Allen
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
180.9SEASON PPR
KC
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Los Angeles ChargersPASSING
J.Herbert3727 yd · 26 TD · 13 INT
RUSHING
K.Vidal643 yd · 3 TD
O.Hampton545 yd · 4 TD
J.Herbert498 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
L.McConkey66 rec · 789 yd · 6 TD
K.Allen81 rec · 777 yd · 4 TD
Q.Johnston51 rec · 735 yd · 8 TD
O.Gadsden49 rec · 664 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,727PASSyds3,587
1,686RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| KC@LACW17 2026 | — | LAC | — |
| LAC@KCW15 2025 | LAC 16, KC 13 | KC | L |
| KC@LACW1 2025 | KC 21, LAC 27 | KC | L |
| LAC@KCW14 2024 | LAC 17, KC 19 | KC | W |
| KC@LACW4 2024 | KC 17, LAC 10 | KC | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSLAC vs KC
Who is favored in Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs?
Our model takes Los Angeles Chargers at 63% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project LAC by 1.8. The market has LAC at +2.5.
When do the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs play?
Week 6 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Who won the last Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs game?
Los Angeles Chargers, 16-13 in Week 15 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Los Angeles Chargers or the Kansas City Chiefs?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Chargers: LAC +0.059 against KC +0.055.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
