SEA @ DEN – Week 6 2026
SEA
DEN
SEA
AWAY
@
THU 8:15 PM
WEEK 6 · 2026 SEASON
DEN
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: DEN 60%Projected margin: -1.0
DEN
PICK SIDE
+1.5
SPREAD
-1.0
PROJ MARGIN
+124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.150Net EPA / play+0.138
+0.033Offense EPA / play+0.050
-0.117Defense EPA / play-0.088
46.3%Offense success %44.2%
39.6%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
DEN is our C-tier play in SEA @ DEN (Week 6, 2026). The model assigns 60.0% confidence and projects DEN by 1.0. Market spread sits at DEN +1.5.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.5 | DEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | +124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
SEA
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
359.9SEASON PPR
S.Darnold
QB
235.4SEASON PPR
K.Walker
RB
191.9SEASON PPR
DEN
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Seattle SeahawksPASSING
S.Darnold4048 yd · 25 TD · 14 INT
RUSHING
K.Walker1027 yd · 5 TD
Z.Charbonnet730 yd · 12 TD
S.Darnold95 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
J.Smith-Njigba119 rec · 1793 yd · 10 TD
C.Kupp47 rec · 593 yd · 2 TD
A.Barner52 rec · 519 yd · 6 TD
K.Walker31 rec · 282 yd · 0 TD
VS
4,048PASSyds3,931
1,852RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@SEAW1 2024 | DEN 20, SEA 26 | SEA | W |
| DEN@SEAW1 2022 | DEN 16, SEA 17 | SEA | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs DEN
Who is favored in Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos?
Our model takes Denver Broncos at 60% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project DEN by 1.0. The market has DEN at +1.5.
When do the Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos play?
Week 6 of the 2026 season, THU 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos game?
Seattle Seahawks, 20-26 in Week 1 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Seattle Seahawks or the Denver Broncos?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA +0.150 against DEN +0.138.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
