DAL @ GB – Week 6 2026
DAL
GB
DAL
AWAY
@
SUN 8:20 PM
WEEK 6 · 2026 SEASON
GB
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: GB 61%Projected margin: -1.9
GB
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-1.9
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.070Net EPA / play+0.082
+0.097Offense EPA / play+0.115
+0.167Defense EPA / play+0.033
46.6%Offense success %47.7%
48.9%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
GB is our C-tier play in DAL @ GB (Week 6, 2026). The model assigns 61.4% confidence and projects GB by 1.9. Market spread sits at GB -3.0.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DAL
D.Prescott
QB
313.8SEASON PPR
G.Pickens
WR
291.9SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
242.8SEASON PPR
GB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Dallas CowboysPASSING
D.Prescott4552 yd · 30 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
J.Williams1201 yd · 11 TD
M.Davis250 yd · 2 TD
D.Prescott177 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
G.Pickens93 rec · 1429 yd · 9 TD
C.Lamb75 rec · 1077 yd · 3 TD
J.Ferguson82 rec · 600 yd · 8 TD
R.Flournoy40 rec · 475 yd · 4 TD
VS
4,552PASSyds3,381
1,628RUSH
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@DALW4 2025 | GB 40, DAL 40 | GB | L |
| DAL@GBW10 2022 | DAL 28, GB 31 | DAL | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSDAL vs GB
Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers?
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 61% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project GB by 1.9. The market has GB at -3.0.
When do the Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers play?
Week 6 of the 2026 season, SUN 8:20 PM.
Who won the last Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers game?
They tied 40-40 in Week 4 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Dallas Cowboys or the Green Bay Packers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Green Bay Packers: DAL -0.070 against GB +0.082.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
