CAR @ PHI – Week 6 2026
CAR
PHI
CAR
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 6 · 2026 SEASON
PHI
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: PHI 69%Projected margin: -5.0
PHI
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-5.0
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.107Net EPA / play+0.105
-0.039Offense EPA / play+0.026
+0.067Defense EPA / play-0.079
43.1%Offense success %43.1%
44.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI backed by epa edge at 69%.
EPA EDGE
PHI generates 0.026 EPA/play on offense. CAR's defense allows 0.067. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
HIGH CONVICTION
PHI is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
TEMPO
PHI runs no-huddle on 19% of plays -- a fast tempo that can exploit defensive fatigue.
RED ZONE
PHI converts 84% in the red zone vs 55% for CAR. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
Multiple signals align in PHI's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CAR
B.Young
QB
218.0SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
216.3SEASON PPR
T.McMillan
WR
213.4SEASON PPR
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Carolina PanthersPASSING
B.Young3011 yd · 23 TD · 11 INT
RUSHING
R.Dowdle1076 yd · 6 TD
C.Hubbard511 yd · 1 TD
B.Young216 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
T.McMillan70 rec · 1014 yd · 7 TD
J.Coker33 rec · 394 yd · 3 TD
X.Legette35 rec · 363 yd · 3 TD
R.Dowdle39 rec · 297 yd · 1 TD
VS
3,011PASSyds3,224
1,803RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@PHIW14 2024 | CAR 16, PHI 22 | PHI | W |
| PHI@CARW5 2021 | PHI 21, CAR 18 | CAR | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSCAR vs PHI
Who is favored in Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles?
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 69% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project PHI by 5.0. The market has PHI at -6.5.
When do the Carolina Panthers and Philadelphia Eagles play?
Week 6 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles game?
Philadelphia Eagles, 16-22 in Week 14 of 2024.
Which team has been better, the Carolina Panthers or the Philadelphia Eagles?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: CAR -0.107 against PHI +0.105.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
