Panthers vs Eagles – Week 14 2024
CAR
PHI
CAR
AWAY
16@22
PHI BY 6
FINAL · WEEK 14
2024 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Carolina Panthers 16, Philadelphia Eagles 22.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 79% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Panthers, 4 Eagles.
Model confidence: PHI 79%Our line: PHI -10.8
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -14.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -10.8
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 14
-0.213Net EPA / play+0.212
-0.053 (23)Offense EPA / play+0.114 (6)
+0.160 (32)Defense EPA / play-0.098 (2)
41.3% (22)Offense success %45.3% (13)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 10.8. Actual: 6. Off by 4.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 8.0 points.
HIGH WIND
16 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
CAR
home_underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)Home Underdog 5-3 ATS (63%)
PHI
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
55°F
WIND
16 MPH
WINDY
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@PHIW6 2026 | CAR 25, PHI 14 | PHI | L |
| PHI@CARW5 2021 | PHI 21, CAR 18 | CAR | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCAR vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 79% win probability, a Tier S pick. The margin models project PHI by 10.8. The market has PHI at -14.0.
Philadelphia Eagles won, CAR 16, PHI 22. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 79% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -14.0, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 14.0 points.
In Week 14, the Carolina Panthers were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the Philadelphia Eagles were without 4 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.9, 1.4 above the market.
Week 14 of the 2024 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Carolina Panthers, CAR 25, PHI 14 in Week 6 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, Philadelphia Eagles: CAR -0.213 against PHI +0.212.
