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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

ATL

MIN

ATL

AWAY

21@42

MIN +21

FINAL · WEEK 14

2024 SEASON

MIN

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

ATL	METRIC	MIN
-0.027	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.071
+0.034	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.010
+0.061	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.081
389	POINTS FOR	441
423	POINTS AGAINST	359
54.9%	PASS RATE	58.8%
79.0%	RED ZONE TD%	78.3%
26.7%	4TH DOWN GO%	14.5%

ATLANALYTICS →MINANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+6.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

45.9

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

ATL

No noteworthy trends

MIN

divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

ATL

B.Robinson

RB

341.7PPR

D.London

WR

280.8PPR

D.Mooney

WR

193.2PPR

MIN

J.Jefferson

WR

317.5PPR

S.Darnold

QB

308.0PPR

A.Jones

RB

241.6PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 14

ATL4 LISTED

Jase McClellan

RB · Knee

OUT

Casey Washington

WR · Concussion

OUT

Mike Hughes

CB · Neck

QUESTIONABLE

Ruke Orhorhoro

DE · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

MIN7 LISTED

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
ATL@MINW2 2025	ATL 22, MIN 6
MIN@ATLW9 2023	MIN 31, ATL 28
ATL@MINW6 2020	ATL 40, MIN 23

FULL COMPARISON →

ATL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

MIN ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES

LAC@KC

17-19

NYJ@MIA

26-32

CLE@PIT

14-27

LV@TB

13-28

CHI@SF

13-38

GB@DET

31-34

JAX@TEN

10-6

← WEEK 14 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Stephon Gilmore

CB · Hamstring

OUT

Andrew DePaola

LS · Hand

QUESTIONABLE

Harrison Phillips

DT · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Andrew Van Ginkel

DE · Thigh

QUESTIONABLE

Dalton Risner

G · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Patrick Jones

DE · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Will Reichard

K · Right Quadricep

QUESTIONABLE

ATL SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

15.7%

BLITZ RATE

24.6%

MOTION

50.8%

RPO

1.7%

SCREEN

9.6%

NO HUDDLE

12.3%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.1

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

MIN SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

30.1%

BLITZ RATE

20.9%

MOTION

41.6%

RPO

2.1%

SCREEN

9.8%

NO HUDDLE

10.4%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

MIN ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.0%

DROP %

3.1%

PRESSURE %

25.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.0

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

18

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

67.4%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

83.2

MISSED TACKLE %

9.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

69.3%

Kirk CousinsATL

TIME TO THROW

2.48s

Kirk CousinsATL

SEPARATION

3.8 yds

Darnell MooneyATL

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.2

Aaron JonesMIN

AGGRESSIVENESS

17.9%

Sam DarnoldMIN

AVG YAC

11.2 yds

Kyle PittsATL

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

ATL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.6%

DROP %

3.4%

PRESSURE %

23.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.2

YAC/ATT

2.0

BROKEN TACKLES

30

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

74.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.7

MISSED TACKLE %

13.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

ATL @ MIN – Week 14 2024