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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

AWAY

13@28

TB +15

FINAL · WEEK 14

2024 SEASON

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TEAM COMPARISON

LV	METRIC	TB
-0.164	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.108
-0.143	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.129
+0.021	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.021
309	POINTS FOR	522
434	POINTS AGAINST	408
64.8%	PASS RATE	56.0%
66.7%	RED ZONE TD%	100.0%
19.4%	4TH DOWN GO%	14.3%

LVANALYTICS →TBANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+7.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

46.7

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

LV

divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)

TB

divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

71°F

WIND

4 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

LV

B.Bowers

TE

262.7PPR

J.Meyers

WR

218.0PPR

A.Mattison

RB

137.4PPR

TB

B.Mayfield

QB

365.8PPR

B.Irving

RB

244.4PPR

M.Evans

WR

240.4PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 14

LV5 LISTED

Justin Shorter

TE · Back

DOUBTFUL

Nate Hobbs

CB · Ankle

OUT

Zamir White

RB · Quadricep

OUT

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Alexander Mattison

RB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
TB@LVW7 2020	TB 45, LV 20

FULL COMPARISON →

LV ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

TB ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES

LAC@KC

17-19

NYJ@MIA

26-32

CLE@PIT

14-27

CHI@SF

13-38

ATL@MIN

21-42

GB@DET

31-34

JAX@TEN

10-6

← WEEK 14 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

TB10 LISTED

Troy Hill

CB · Foot

OUT

Mike Edwards

S · Hamstring

OUT

K.J. Britt

LB · Ankle

OUT

Markees Watts

LB · Knee

OUT

J.J. Russell

LB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

Tykee Smith

S · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Josh Hayes

CB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

Trey Palmer

WR · Hip

QUESTIONABLE

Bucky Irving

RB · Hip

QUESTIONABLE

Joe Tryon

LB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

LV SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.0%

BLITZ RATE

28.7%

MOTION

43.1%

RPO

2.2%

SCREEN

8.3%

NO HUDDLE

9.4%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

73.2%

Desmond RidderLV

TIME TO THROW

2.50s

Desmond RidderLV

SEPARATION

4.7 yds

Michael MayerLV

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.9

Sincere McCormickLV

AGGRESSIVENESS

26.3%

Aidan O'ConnellLV

AVG YAC

8.6 yds

Jalen McMillanTB

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

TB SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

23.1%

BLITZ RATE

30.6%

MOTION

39.9%

RPO

1.2%

SCREEN

12.8%

NO HUDDLE

4.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

LV ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

16.8%

DROP %

2.5%

PRESSURE %

24.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.1

YAC/ATT

1.6

BROKEN TACKLES

22

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.4%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.1

MISSED TACKLE %

12.6%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

TB ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

10.1%

DROP %

4.6%

PRESSURE %

15.4%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

2.2

BROKEN TACKLES

35

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.1

MISSED TACKLE %

8.9%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

LV @ TB – Week 14 2024