2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ NYG – Week 14 2024
NO
NYG
NO
AWAY
14@11
NO +3
FINAL · WEEK 14
2024 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 68%Projected margin: -4.2
NO
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
-4.2
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NO by 4.2. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.2 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -245 | Won · +$0.45 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
NYG
home_underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
54°F
WIND
13 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NO
A.Kamara
RB
265.3SEASON PPR
D.Carr
QB
150.9SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
122.8SEASON PPR
NYG
M.Nabers
WR
273.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@NOW5 2025 | NYG 14, NO 26 | NO | W |
| NYG@NOW15 2023 | NYG 6, NO 24 | NO | W |
| NYG@NOW4 2021 | NYG 27, NO 21 | NO | L |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES