NO @ NYG – Week 6 2026
NO
NYG
NO
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 6 · 2026 SEASON
NYG
HOME
Model confidence: NO 60%Projected margin: -0.6
NO
PICK SIDE
+2.5
SPREAD
-0.6
PROJ MARGIN
+143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.029Net EPA / play-0.075
-0.088Offense EPA / play+0.012
-0.059Defense EPA / play+0.087
42.0%Offense success %42.1%
41.8%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Model favors NO (C-tier, 60% confidence).
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
NO goes for it on 4th down 26% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
H2H EDGE
NO has won 3 of the last 4 meetings against NYG.
Net-positive signal profile for NO. Grade: C.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +2.5 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | +143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NO
C.Olave
WR
268.0SEASON PPR
J.Johnson
TE
179.9SEASON PPR
T.Shough
QB
158.0SEASON PPR
NYG
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New Orleans SaintsPASSING
T.Shough2384 yd · 10 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
A.Kamara471 yd · 1 TD
D.Neal206 yd · 2 TD
A.Estime198 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
C.Olave100 rec · 1163 yd · 9 TD
J.Johnson77 rec · 889 yd · 3 TD
R.Shaheed44 rec · 499 yd · 2 TD
D.Vele25 rec · 293 yd · 2 TD
VS
2,384PASSyds2,272
875RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@NOW5 2025 | NYG 14, NO 26 | NO | W |
| NO@NYGW14 2024 | NO 14, NYG 11 | NO | W |
| NYG@NOW15 2023 | NYG 6, NO 24 | NO | W |
| NYG@NOW4 2021 | NYG 27, NO 21 | NO | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSNO vs NYG
Who is favored in New Orleans Saints at New York Giants?
Our model takes New Orleans Saints at 60% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project NO by 0.6. The market has NO at +2.5.
When do the New Orleans Saints and New York Giants play?
Week 6 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants game?
New Orleans Saints, 14-26 in Week 5 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the New Orleans Saints or the New York Giants?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, New Orleans Saints: NO -0.029 against NYG -0.075.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
