2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ NO – Week 15 2023
NYG
NO
NYG
AWAY
6@24
NO +18
FINAL · WEEK 15
2023 SEASON
NO
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NO 67%Projected margin: 4.8
NO
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
4.8
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NO. Projected margin: 4.8. Actual: 18. Off by 13.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 12.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -250 | Won · +$0.42 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
NO
Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR
133.2SEASON PPR
NO
Derek Carr
QB
241.1SEASON PPR
Alvin Kamara
RB
233.0SEASON PPR
Chris Olave
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@NOW5 2025 | NYG 14, NO 26 | NO | W |
| NO@NYGW14 2024 | NO 14, NYG 11 | NO | W |
| NYG@NOW4 2021 | NYG 27, NO 21 | NO | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES