Giants vs Saints – Week 15 2023
NYG
NO
NYG
AWAY
6@24
NO BY 18
FINAL · WEEK 15
2023 SEASON
Caesars Superdome · New Orleans, LA
NO
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 6, New Orleans Saints 24.
Going in, our model had favored New Orleans Saints at 67% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 1 Giants, 3 Saints.
Model confidence: NO 67%Our line: NO -6.1
ODDS
SPREAD
NO -6.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
NO -6.1
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
NO · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
67%
TEAM COMPARISON2023 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 15
-0.155Net EPA / play+0.086
-0.174 (29)Offense EPA / play-0.014 (13)
-0.019 (19)Defense EPA / play-0.100 (5)
37.9% (30)Offense success %42.1% (15)
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NO. Projected margin: 6.1. Actual: 18. Off by 11.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 12.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
NO
Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYG
223.2 SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0 SEASON PPR
133.2 SEASON PPR
NO
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2023 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NO@NYGW6 2026 | NO 34, NYG 27 | NYG | L |
| NYG@NOW5 2025 | NYG 14, NO 26 | NO | W |
| NO@NYGW14 2024 | NO 14, NYG 11 | NO | W |
| NYG@NOW4 2021 | NYG 27, NO 21 | NO | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs NO
Our model takes New Orleans Saints at 67% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project NO by 6.1. The market has NO at -6.0.
New Orleans Saints won, NYG 6, NO 24. Our model had favored New Orleans Saints at 67% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has New Orleans Saints at -6.0, meaning the book expects New Orleans Saints to win by 6.0 points.
In Week 15, the New York Giants were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the New Orleans Saints were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 39.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.7, 7.2 above the market.
Week 15 of the 2023 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New Orleans Saints, NO 34, NYG 27 in Week 6 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2023 season, New Orleans Saints: NYG -0.155 against NO +0.086.
