2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PHI @ SEA – Week 15 2023
PHI
SEA
PHI
AWAY
17@20
SEA +3
FINAL · WEEK 15
2023 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 64%Projected margin: -2.7
PHI
PICK SIDE
-5.0
SPREAD
-2.7
PROJ MARGIN
-205
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PHI but SEA won. Projected margin was 2.7 -- the model overestimated by 5.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 8.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.0 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -205 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -238 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PHI
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)
SEA
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
46°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
PHI
Jalen Hurts
QB
356.8SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
WR
289.6SEASON PPR
DeVonta Smith
WR
227.6SEASON PPR
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
227.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
225.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@PHIW12 2020 | SEA 23, PHI 17 | SEA | W |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES