Seahawks vs Eagles – Week 12 2020
SEA
PHI
SEA
AWAY
23@17
SEA BY 6
FINAL · WEEK 12
2020 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 23, Philadelphia Eagles 17.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 53% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Seahawks, 3 Eagles.
Model confidence: SEA 53%Our line: SEA -1.2
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -6.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -1.2
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
53%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 12
+0.047Net EPA / play-0.107
+0.087 (11)Offense EPA / play-0.089 (30)
+0.040 (17)Defense EPA / play+0.018 (13)
48.2% (6)Offense success %40.6% (30)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 1.2. Actual: 6. Off by 4.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 0.5 points, a bad-beat loss.
HIGH WIND
16 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
60°F
WIND
16 MPH
WINDY
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Seattle SeahawksPASSING
Russell Wilson4212 yd · 40 TD · 13 INT
RUSHING
Chris Carson681 yd · 5 TD
Russell Wilson513 yd · 2 TD
Carlos Hyde356 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
DK Metcalf83 rec · 1303 yd · 10 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@SEAW15 2023 | PHI 17, SEA 20 | PHI | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs PHI
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 53% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project SEA by 1.2. The market has SEA at -6.5.
Seattle Seahawks won, SEA 23, PHI 17. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 53% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -6.5, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 6.5 points.
In Week 12, the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Philadelphia Eagles were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 50.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 48.5, 1.5 below the market.
Week 12 of the 2020 season, MON 8:15 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, PHI 17, SEA 20 in Week 15 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Seattle Seahawks: SEA +0.047 against PHI -0.107.
