2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ DEN – Week 12 2020
NO
DEN
NO
AWAY
31@3
NO +28
FINAL · WEEK 12
2020 SEASON
DEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NO 63%Projected margin: -6.3
NO
PICK SIDE
-17.0
SPREAD
-6.3
PROJ MARGIN
-1155
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NO. Projected margin: 6.3. Actual: 28. Off by 21.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -17.0 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -1155 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -1350 | Won · +$0.09 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
DEN
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
38°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
377.8SEASON PPR
Drew Brees
QB
209.5SEASON PPR
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
164.8SEASON PPR
DEN
Melvin Gordon
RB
198.4SEASON PPR
Drew Lock
QB
181.3SEASON PPR
Tim Patrick
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@NOW7 2024 | DEN 33, NO 10 | NO | L |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES