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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

DEN

DEN

AWAY

33@10

DEN +23

FINAL · WEEK 7

2024 SEASON

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THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

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TEAM COMPARISON

DEN	METRIC	NO
+0.105	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.101
+0.015	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.057
-0.091	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.044
432	POINTS FOR	338
342	POINTS AGAINST	398
57.3%	PASS RATE	57.6%
73.1%	RED ZONE TD%	76.2%
18.1%	4TH DOWN GO%	20.6%

DENANALYTICS →NOANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-2.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

46.9

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

DEN

divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)

NO

divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

DEN

B.Nix

QB

317.2PPR

C.Sutton

WR

240.3PPR

J.Williams

RB

157.9PPR

NO

A.Kamara

RB

265.3PPR

D.Carr

QB

150.9PPR

J.Johnson

TE

122.8PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 7

DEN5 LISTED

Patrick Surtain

CB · Concussion

OUT

Alex Palczewski

T · Ankle

OUT

Mike McGlinchey

T · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Baron Browning

LB · Foot

QUESTIONABLE

Damarri Mathis

CB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
NO@DENW12 2020	NO 31, DEN 3

FULL COMPARISON →

DEN ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

NO ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES

NE@JAX

16-32

CAR@WAS

7-40

NYJ@PIT

15-37

LV@LA

15-20

HOU@GB

22-24

SEA@ATL

34-14

DET@MIN

31-29

← WEEK 7 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

NO8 LISTED

Taysom Hill

TE · Rib

DOUBTFUL

Derek Carr

QB · Oblique

DOUBTFUL

Rashid Shaheed

WR · Knee

OUT

Pete Werner

LB · Hamstring

OUT

Chris Olave

WR · Concussion

OUT

Cesar Ruiz

G · Knee

OUT

Khalen Saunders

DT · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Lucas Patrick

G · Chest

QUESTIONABLE

DEN SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

30.5%

BLITZ RATE

29.9%

MOTION

27.7%

RPO

3.8%

SCREEN

13.5%

NO HUDDLE

11.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NO SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

25.4%

BLITZ RATE

29.1%

MOTION

41.0%

RPO

1.5%

SCREEN

9.7%

NO HUDDLE

7.9%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

74.0%

Bo NixDEN

TIME TO THROW

2.68s

Spencer RattlerNO

SEPARATION

5.5 yds

Troy FranklinDEN

RUSH EFFICIENCY

2.6

Javonte WilliamsDEN

AGGRESSIVENESS

5.7%

Spencer RattlerNO

AVG YAC

6.7 yds

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

DEN ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.1%

DROP %

4.9%

PRESSURE %

13.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.2

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

21

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

65.7%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

82.8

MISSED TACKLE %

6.8%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

NO ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

16.5%

DROP %

6.3%

PRESSURE %

23.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

3.0

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

26

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

68.1%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

85.8

MISSED TACKLE %

13.2%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

DEN @ NO – Week 7 2024