2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ ATL – Week 7 2024
SEA
ATL
SEA
AWAY
34@14
SEA +20
FINAL · WEEK 7
2024 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER C
PICK: ATL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 65%Projected margin: 3.7
ATL
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
3.7
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL C-tier pick misses. SEA takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ATL but SEA won. Projected margin was 3.7 -- the model overestimated by 23.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 23.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -162 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
home_underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
ATL
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
SEA
G.Smith
QB
266.0SEASON PPR
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
253.0SEASON PPR
D.Metcalf
WR
191.2SEASON PPR
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
341.7SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
280.8SEASON PPR
D.Mooney
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ATLW14 2025 | SEA 37, ATL 9 | SEA | W |
| ATL@SEAW3 2022 | ATL 27, SEA 23 | SEA | L |
| SEA@ATLW1 2020 | SEA 38, ATL 25 | ATL | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES