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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

MIA

IND

MIA

AWAY

10@16

IND +6

FINAL · WEEK 7

2024 SEASON

IND

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

MIA	METRIC	IND
-0.017	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.061
-0.039	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.057
-0.022	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.004
345	POINTS FOR	377
364	POINTS AGAINST	427
59.0%	PASS RATE	52.7%
81.0%	RED ZONE TD%	65.2%
24.8%	4TH DOWN GO%	21.4%

MIAANALYTICS →INDANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+3.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

43.5

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

MIA

No noteworthy trends

IND

divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

MIA

D.Achane

RB

299.9PPR

J.Smith

TE

222.3PPR

T.Hill

WR

218.2PPR

IND

J.Taylor

RB

246.7PPR

J.Downs

WR

182.2PPR

M.Pittman

WR

165.8PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 7

MIA8 LISTED

Jevon Holland

S · Hand

DOUBTFUL

Emmanuel Ogbah

DE · Biceps

QUESTIONABLE

David Long

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Blake Ferguson

LS · Not injury related - personal matter

QUESTIONABLE

Austin Jackson

T · Back

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
MIA@INDW1 2025	MIA 8, IND 33
IND@MIAW4 2021	IND 27, MIA 17

FULL COMPARISON →

MIA ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

IND ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES

NE@JAX

16-32

CAR@WAS

7-40

NYJ@PIT

15-37

LV@LA

15-20

HOU@GB

22-24

SEA@ATL

34-14

DET@MIN

31-29

← WEEK 7 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Skylar Thompson

QB · Ribs

QUESTIONABLE

Odell Beckham

WR · Undisclosed

QUESTIONABLE

Cam Smith

CB · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

IND8 LISTED

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Ankle

OUT

Chris Lammons

CB · Ankle

OUT

E.J. Speed

LB · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Michael Pittman

WR · Back

QUESTIONABLE

Dayo Odeyingbo

DE · Hamstring

QUESTIONABLE

Alec Pierce

WR · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

Josh Downs

WR · Toe

QUESTIONABLE

Braden Smith

T · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

58.6%

Anthony RichardsonIND

TIME TO THROW

3.02s

Anthony RichardsonIND

SEPARATION

4.0 yds

Alec PierceIND

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.4

De'Von AchaneMIA

AGGRESSIVENESS

12.5%

Anthony RichardsonIND

AVG YAC

7.6 yds

Jonnu SmithMIA

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

MIA SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

26.8%

BLITZ RATE

18.4%

MOTION

61.9%

RPO

1.5%

SCREEN

14.7%

NO HUDDLE

5.2%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

IND SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

33.8%

BLITZ RATE

26.5%

MOTION

32.3%

RPO

4.0%

SCREEN

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

IND ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

21.9%

DROP %

4.5%

PRESSURE %

20.4%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.9

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

28

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

75.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

91.4

MISSED TACKLE %

13.9%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

MIA ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.6%

DROP %

4.9%

PRESSURE %

19.0%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.3

YAC/ATT

1.3

BROKEN TACKLES

13

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

62.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

82.7

MISSED TACKLE %

10.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

MIA @ IND – Week 7 2024