2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ PIT – Week 7 2024
NYJ
PIT
NYJ
AWAY
15@37
PIT +22
FINAL · WEEK 7
2024 SEASON
PIT
HOME
TIER A
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 71%Projected margin: 6.8
PIT
PICK SIDE
+3.0
SPREAD
6.8
PROJ MARGIN
+154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PIT. Projected margin: 6.8. Actual: 22. Off by 15.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 25.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +3.0 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | +154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +140 | Won · +$1.54 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
PIT
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
60°F
WIND
4 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NYJ
A.Rodgers
QB
256.6SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
251.9SEASON PPR
B.Hall
RB
240.9SEASON PPR
PIT
N.Harris
RB
204.6SEASON PPR
R.Wilson
QB
172.8SEASON PPR
P.Freiermuth
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@NYJW1 2025 | PIT 34, NYJ 32 | PIT | W |
| NYJ@PITW4 2022 | NYJ 24, PIT 20 | PIT | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES