Eagles vs Giants – Week 7 2024
PHI
NYG
PHI
AWAY
28@3
PHI BY 25
FINAL · WEEK 7
2024 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYG
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Philadelphia Eagles 28, New York Giants 3.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Eagles, 2 Giants.
Model confidence: PHI 62%Our line: PHI -4.0
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -3.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -4.0
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
TEAM COMPARISON2024 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 7
+0.212Net EPA / play-0.170
+0.114 (6)Offense EPA / play-0.107 (28)
-0.098 (2)Defense EPA / play+0.063 (28)
45.3% (13)Offense success %40.5% (25)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 4.0. Actual: 25. Off by 21.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 22.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
PHI
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
NYG
home_underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
71°F
WIND
4 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2024 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW16 2023 | NYG 25, PHI 33 | PHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs NYG
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 62% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project PHI by 4.0. The market has PHI at -3.0.
Philadelphia Eagles won, PHI 28, NYG 3. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 62% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -3.0, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 3.0 points.
In Week 7, the Philadelphia Eagles were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the New York Giants were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 42.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.7, 3.7 above the market.
Week 7 of the 2024 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, NYG 20, PHI 38 in Week 8 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2024 season, Philadelphia Eagles: PHI +0.212 against NYG -0.170.
